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VistaGen Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $-0.76 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2022-05-20), VistaGen Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.76. The stock price of VistaGen Therapeutics is $1.11. Therefore, VistaGen Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for VistaGen Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:


VistaGen Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for VistaGen Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

VistaGen Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.25 -1.78 -1.66 -2.93 -0.45

VistaGen Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.83 -0.45 -0.52 -0.66 -0.76

Competitive Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, VistaGen Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

VistaGen Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, VistaGen Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where VistaGen Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



VistaGen Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get VistaGen Therapeutics's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-14.63.

VistaGen Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec21)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*-14.6304+79.978*0.8)/202.329
=-0.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


VistaGen Therapeutics  (NAS:VTGN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

VistaGen Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.11/-0.75848821965011
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


VistaGen Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of VistaGen Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


VistaGen Therapeutics Business Description

VistaGen Therapeutics logo
Industry
Healthcare » Biotechnology NAICS : 325412 SIC : 2834
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
343 Allerton Avenue, South San Francisco, CA, USA, 94080
VistaGen Therapeutics Inc is a biotechnology firm. The company is in its clinical stage and engaged in developing and commercializing product candidates for patients with diseases and disorders involving the central nervous system. Its lead product candidate, AV-101, is an orally available prodrug candidate in Phase II development, initially for the adjunctive treatment of a major depressive disorder in patients with an inadequate response to standard antidepressants. The PH94B is a novel neuroactive nasal spray with therapeutic potential in a wide range of indications involving anxiety or phobia; PH10 is an odorless, fast-acting synthetic neurosteroid for neuropsychiatric indications involving depression.
Executives
Saxe Jon S director FIRST HORIZON PHARMACEUTICAL CORP 660 HEMBREE PKWY STE 106 ROSWELL GA 30076
Dotson Jerrold Duane officer: VP, CFO AND SECRETARY 5 CENTERPOINTE DRIVE SUITE 400 LAKE OSWEGO OR 97035
Singh Shawn director, officer: CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER C/O VISTAGEN THERAPEUTICS, INC. 343 ALLERTON AVENUE SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Snodgrass H. Ralph director, officer: PRES./CHIEF SCIENTIFIC OFFICER 384 OYSTER POINT BLVD. SUITE 8 SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Smith Mark Alan officer: CHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER 343 ALLERTON AVENUE SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Mcpartland Mark A. officer: VP CORPORATE DEVELOPMENT C/O VISTAGEN THERAPEUTICS, INC. 343 ALLERTON AVENUE SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Gin Jerry B director 343 ALLERTON AVE SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Underdown Brian J. director C/O LUMIRA CAPITAL INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT 141 ADELAIDE ST. WEST, SUITE 770 TORONTO ONTARIO CANADA M5H 3L5 A6 00000
Cunningham Ann Michelle director 255 N CALDWELL CIRCLE DOWNINGTOWN PA 19335
Rice A. Franklin officer: VP CORPORATE DEVELOPMENT 384 OYSTER POINT BLVD. SUITE 8 SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Bonfiglio Gregory A. director 384 OYSTER POINT BOULEVARD, NO. 8 SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Platinum Long Term Growth Vii, Llc 10 percent owner 152 WEST 57TH STREET 4TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10019
Cato Holding Co 10 percent owner 4364 SOUTH ALSTON AVENUE DURHAM NC 27713
Cato Allen Easley 10 percent owner 4364 SOUTH ALSTON AVENUE DURHAM NC 27713
Jones Stephanie director, 10 percent owner, officer: PRESIDENT 13834 W. HOYT ROAD RATHDRUM ID 83858

VistaGen Therapeutics Headlines

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