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WING (Wingstop) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-1.95 (As of Jun. 22, 2025)


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What is Wingstop Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-06-22), Wingstop's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-1.95. The stock price of Wingstop is $350.06. Therefore, Wingstop's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Wingstop's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Wingstop was 486.05. The lowest was 28.41. And the median was 62.55.

WING's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Restaurants industry.
Industry Median: 1.06
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Wingstop Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Wingstop's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Wingstop Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Wingstop Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.72 1.48 0.65 2.48 -1.05

Wingstop Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.60 6.83 10.29 -1.05 -1.95

Competitive Comparison of Wingstop's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Restaurants subindustry, Wingstop's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Wingstop's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Wingstop's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Wingstop's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


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Wingstop Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Wingstop's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $56.39.

Wingstop's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar25)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*56.39216+-714.982/0.8)/28.509
=-1.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Wingstop  (NAS:WING) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Wingstop's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=350.06/-1.9499237606059
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Wingstop Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Wingstop's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Wingstop Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2801 N Central Expressway, Suite 1600, Dallas, TX, USA, 75204
Founded in 1994 in Garland, Texas, Wingstop is a restaurant operator specializing in indulgent bone-in and boneless chicken wings, chicken tenders, fries, and, recently, chicken sandwiches. The firm's footprint has grown quickly since its inception, reaching north of 2,560 global stores at the end of 2024. With a 98% franchised model, Wingstop generates the lion share of its revenue from franchise royalties and advertising fees, with the remainder derived from a small footprint of company-owned stores.
Executives
Michael Skipworth officer: Corporate Controller 5501 LBJ FREEWAY, 5TH FLOOR, DALLAS TX 75240
Raj Kapoor officer: SVP, Pres. of International C/O WINGSTOP INC., 15505 WRIGHT BROTHERS DRIVE, ADDISON TX 75001
Donnie Upshaw officer: Senior Vice President, People 5501 LBJ FREEWAY, 5TH FLOOR, DALLAS TX 75420
Kilandigalu Madati director 5501 LBJ FREEWAY, 5TH FLOOR, DALLAS TX 75240
Ania Smith director C/O WINGSTOP INC., 15505 WRIGHT BROTHERS DRIVE, ADDISON TX 75001
Kate S Lavelle director 24089 3RD STREET, FAIRHOPE AL 36532
Albert G Mcgrath officer: See Remarks C/O FOGO DE CHAO, INC., 14881 QUORUM DRIVE, SUITE 750, DALLAS TX 75254
Marisa Carona officer: VP Strategy & Chief of Staff 5501 LBJ FREEWAY, 5TH FLOOR, DALLAS TX 75420
Wesley S Mcdonald director
Anne C Fischer officer: SVP, Chief Growth Officer C/O WINGSTOP INC., 15505 WRIGHT BROTHERS DRIVE, ADDISON TX 75001
Krishnan Anand director 1801 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 4600, DENVER CO 80202
Stacy Peterson officer: Chief Information Officer 5501 LBJ FREEWAY, 5TH FLOOR, DALLAS TX 75240
Craig M Sherwood officer: SVP, U.S. Development C/O WINGSTOP INC., 15505 WRIGHT BROTHERS DRIVE, ADDISON TX 75001
Alex Kaleida officer: SVP, Chief Financial Officer C/O WINGSTOP INC., 15505 WRIGHT BROTHERS DR, ADDISON TX 75001
Charles R Morrison director, officer: President and CEO 3551 PLANO PKWY, THE COLONY TX 75056