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China Green Agriculture Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $7.46 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2021-10-27), China Green Agriculture's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $7.46. The stock price of China Green Agriculture is $11.55. Therefore, China Green Agriculture's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Green Agriculture's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NYSE:CGA' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.04   Med: 0.11   Max: 1.57
Current: 1.55

0.04
1.57

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of China Green Agriculture was 1.57. The lowest was 0.04. And the median was 0.11.

NYSE:CGA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked lower than
99.99% of the 26 Companies
in the Agriculture industry.

( Industry Median: 1.14 vs. NYSE:CGA: 1.55 )

China Green Agriculture Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Green Agriculture's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Green Agriculture Annual Data
Trend Jun12 Jun13 Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 180.56 196.05 134.43 39.75 7.46

China Green Agriculture Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 39.75 33.67 24.86 16.76 7.46

Competitive Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, China Green Agriculture's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

China Green Agriculture Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, China Green Agriculture's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Green Agriculture's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



China Green Agriculture Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get China Green Agriculture's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-9.23.

China Green Agriculture's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun21)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-9.22512+187.511*0.8)/8.341
=7.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


China Green Agriculture  (NYSE:CGA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

China Green Agriculture's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=11.55/7.4550310616273
=1.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


China Green Agriculture Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of China Green Agriculture's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


China Green Agriculture Business Description

China Green Agriculture logo
Industry
Basic Materials » Agriculture NAICS : 325320 SIC : 2879
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
South Taibai Road, 3rd Floor, Borough A, Block A. No. 181, Shaanxi Province, Xi’an, CHN, 710065
China Green Agriculture Inc is engaged in the business of fertilizer and agricultural products. It involves the research, development, production, distribution, and sale of humic acid-based compound fertilizer, blended fertilizer, organic compound fertilizer, slow-release fertilizers, concentrated water-soluble fertilizers, and mixed organic-inorganic compound fertilizer and the development, production, and distribution of agricultural products, such as top-grade fruits, vegetables, flowers and colored seedlings in China. The company operates in four segments: Fertilizer products (Jinong), Fertilizer products (Gufeng), agricultural products (Yuxing), and Sales VIEs(variable interest entities). All of its operations are conducted in China.
Executives
Shi Yiru director 1217 S CATALINA AVENUE REDONDO BEACH CA 90277
Shen Jianlei director 3RD FLOOR, BOROUGH A, BLOCK A. NO. 181 SOUTH TAIBAI ROAD XI?AN, SHAANXI PROVINCE F4 PRC 710065
Fan Ale director 3RD FLOOR, BOROUGH A, BLOCK A. NO. 181 SOUTH TAIBAI ROAD XI?AN, SHAANXI PROVINCE F4 PRC 710065
Zhang Yizhao director 45 OLD MILLSTONE DRIVE, NIT 6 EAST WINDSOR NJ 08520
Fields Robert B director 215 EAST 68TH STREET NEW YORK NY 10021
Raeburn Barry L director C/O FUSHI INTERNATIONAL INC. 1 SHUANGQIANG ROAD, JINZHOU DALIAN F4 116100
To Yinshing David 10 percent owner 45 OLD MILLSTONE DR, UNIT 6 EAST WINDSOR NJ 08520
Schwartz Sanford other: Former Officer & 10% Owner 5353 MANHATTAN CIRCLE STE 101 BOULDER CO 80303
Friess Michael other: Former Officer & 10% Owner 5353 MANHATTAN CIRCLE STE 101 BOULDER CO 80303
Venette John H director, officer: CFO & Treasurer 5353 MANHATTAN CIRCLE SUITE 101 BOULDER CO 80303
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