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Ford Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $37.52 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2022-08-16), Ford Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $37.52. The stock price of Ford Motor Co is $16.555. Therefore, Ford Motor Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ford Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

F' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.1   Med: 0.32   Max: 74.53
Current: 0.44

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ford Motor Co was 74.53. The lowest was 0.10. And the median was 0.32.

F's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
84.5% of 845 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.07 vs F: 0.44

Ford Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ford Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ford Motor Co Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.66 35.50 34.45 38.57 39.91

Ford Motor Co Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 39.55 40.36 39.91 38.62 37.52

Competitive Comparison

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Ford Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Ford Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ford Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ford Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Ford Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ford Motor Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $12,256.00.

Ford Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*12256+44169*0.8)/4052.000
=37.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ford Motor Co  (NYSE:F) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Ford Motor Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=16.555/37.516443524221
=0.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ford Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ford Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ford Motor Co Business Description

Ford Motor Co logo
Address
One American Road, Dearborn, MI, USA, 48126
Ford Motor Co. manufactures automobiles under its Ford and Lincoln brands. In March 2022 the company announced that it will run its combustion engine business, Ford Blue, and its BEV business, Ford Model e, as separate businesses but still all under Ford Motor Company. The company has about 12.5% market share in the United States, about 6.5% share in Europe, and about 2.4% share in China including unconsolidated affiliates. We expect market share increases as inventory improves coming out of the chip shortage. Sales in the U.S. made up about 64% of 2021 total company revenue. Ford has about 183,000 employees, including about 56,000 UAW employees, and is based in Dearborn, Michigan.
Executives
Waldo Jennifer officer: Chief People & E. Exp. Officer ONE AMERICAN ROAD DEARBORN MI 48126
Gjaja Marin officer: Chief Cust. Off., Ford Model e ONE AMERICAN ROAD DEARBORN MI 48126
Cannis Theodore J. officer: CEO of Ford Pro ONE AMERICAN ROAD DEARBORN MI 48126
May John C Ii director DEERE & COMPANY ONE JOHN DEERE PLACE MOLINE IL 61265
Amend Michael officer: Chief Digital & Info. Officer ONE AMERICAN ROAD DEARBORN MI 48126
Field John Douglas officer: Chief AT&ES Officer ONE AMERICAN ROAD DEARBORN MI 48126
Croley Steven P. officer: Chief Policy Ofcr, Gen Counsel ONE AMERICAN ROAD DEARBORN MI 48126
English Alexandra Ford director ONE AMERICAN ROAD DEARBORN MI 48126
Ford Iii Henry director ONE AMERICAN ROAD DEARBORN MI 48126
Mellen John F officer: General Counsel ONE AMERICAN ROAD DEARBORN MI 48126
Mooney Beth E director 315 DEADERICK STREET NASHVILLE TN 37237
Stone Timothy R officer: Chief Financial Officer ONE AMERICAN ROAD DEARBORN MI 48126
Mcclelland David W. officer: Vice President ONE AMERICAN ROAD DEARBORN MI 48138
Chen Anning officer: Group Vice President ONE AMERICAN ROAD DEARBORN MI 48126
Johnson Gary Alan officer: Group Vice President ONE AMERICAN ROAD DEARBORN MI 48126

Ford Motor Co Headlines

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