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Guidewire Software Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $30.56 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2020-12-01), Guidewire Software's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $30.56. The stock price of Guidewire Software is $122.71. Therefore, Guidewire Software's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 4.0.

NYSE:GWRE' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.06   Med: 3.85   Max: 4.57
Current: 4.02

3.06
4.57

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Guidewire Software was 4.57. The lowest was 3.06. And the median was 3.85.

NYSE:GWRE's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked lower than
78% of the 1133 Companies
in the Software industry.

( Industry Median: 1.76 vs. NYSE:GWRE: 4.02 )

Guidewire Software Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

* Premium members only.

Guidewire Software Annual Data
Jul11 Jul12 Jul13 Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.44 16.87 28.14 28.20 30.56

Guidewire Software Quarterly Data
Oct15 Jan16 Apr16 Jul16 Oct16 Jan17 Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.20 29.15 28.85 27.75 30.56

Competitive Comparison
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap.


Guidewire Software Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

* The bar in red indicates where Guidewire Software's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Guidewire Software Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Guidewire Software's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $94.23.

Guidewire Software's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jul20)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.95911409947*94.2295+1656.768*0.8)/83.318
=30.56

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.


Guidewire Software  (NYSE:GWRE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Guidewire Software's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=122.71/30.564166711107
=4.01

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.


Guidewire Software Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


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