Warrior Met Coal (Warrior Met Coal) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $105.99 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)

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What is Warrior Met Coal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Warrior Met Coal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $105.99. The stock price of Warrior Met Coal is $70.13. Therefore, Warrior Met Coal's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Warrior Met Coal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HCC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.4 Med: 0.45 Max: 0.67
Current: 0.66

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Warrior Met Coal was 0.67. The lowest was 0.40. And the median was 0.45.

HCC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
55.46% of 476 companies
in the Steel industry
Industry Median: 0.72 vs HCC: 0.66

Warrior Met Coal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Warrior Met Coal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Warrior Met Coal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Warrior Met Coal Annual Data

Trend

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

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57.14

86.71

105.99

Warrior Met Coal Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															86.71	91.79	90.92	97.99	105.99

Competitive Comparison of Warrior Met Coal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Coking Coal subindustry, Warrior Met Coal's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Warrior Met Coal's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Warrior Met Coal's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Warrior Met Coal's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.

Warrior Met Coal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Warrior Met Coal's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $336.99.

Warrior Met Coal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	=	(Growth Multiple	*	Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)	+	Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)	*	0.8)	/	Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
	=	(11.936106726364	*	336.99008	+	1874.446	*	0.8)	/	52.096
	=	105.99

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Warrior Met Coal's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF	=	Share Price	/	Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
	=	70.13	/	105.99482418239
	=	0.66

Warrior Met Coal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Warrior Met Coal (Warrior Met Coal) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Steel » Warrior Met Coal Inc (NYSE:HCC) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

WJ4:Germany WJ4:Germany

Address

16243 Highway 216, Brookwood, AL, USA, 35444

Website

http://www.warriormetcoal.com

Warrior Met Coal Inc is a U.S based company. It produces and exports of met coal that operates two underground mines in Alabama. The company sells to steels manufacturers in Europe, Asia, and South America. Its mining operations consist of two underground met coal mines in Southern Appalachia's coal seam and other surface met and thermal coal mines.

Executives

Stephen D. Williams	director	C/O WARRIOR MET COAL, LLC, 16243 HIGHWAY 216, BROOK AL 35444
Brian M Chopin	officer: See Remarks	3000 RIVERCHASE GALLERIA, SUITE #1700, BIRMINGHAM AL 35244
Lisa M. Schnorr	director	C/O GRAHAM CORPORATION, 20 FLORENCE AVENUE, BATAVIA NY 14020
Jack K. Richardson	officer: CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER	C/O WARRIOR MET COAL, LLC, 16243 HIGHWAY 216, BROOKWOOD AL 35444
Walter J Scheller	director, officer: CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER	16243 HIGHWAY 216, BIRMINGHAM AL 35444
Kelli K. Gant	officer: See Remarks	C/O WARRIOR MET COAL, LLC, 16243 HIGHWAY 216, BROOKWOOD AL 35444
Charles Lussier	officer: Senior VP - Sales & Marketing	16243 HIGHWAY 216, BROOKWOOD AL 35444
Dale W Boyles	officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER	1000 EAST HANES MILL ROAD, WINSTON-SALEM NC 27105
Ana B Amicarella	director	1915 SNAPPS FERRY ROAD, BUILDING N, GREENEVILLE TN 37745
Apollo Management Holdings Gp, Llc	10 percent owner	9 W. 57TH STREET, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Apollo Svf Management, L.p.	10 percent owner	TWO MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, PURCHASE NY 10577
Apollo Special Opportunities Managed Account Lp	10 percent owner	ONE MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 201, PURCHASE NY 10577
Apollo Svf Management Gp, Llc	10 percent owner	9 WEST 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Steamboat Credit Opportunities Intermediate Fund Lp	10 percent owner	C/O GSO CAPITAL PARTNERS LP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Apollo Advisors Viii, L.p.	10 percent owner	ONE MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 201, PURCHASE NY 10577