HCC (Warrior Met Coal) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $5.36 (As of Jun. 2026)

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HCC Warrior Met Coal Inc HCC
78 GF Score
Price $96.72
GF Value $64.84
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Warrior Met Coal Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Warrior Met Coal HCC -1.09% 78 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $5.36 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates HCC with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of $64.84 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Warrior Met Coal's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was $1.955. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $5.36 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

As of today (2026-08-12), Warrior Met Coal's current stock price is $96.72. Warrior Met Coal's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was $5.36. Warrior Met Coal's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 18.04.

During the past 11 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Warrior Met Coal was 20.09. The lowest was 12.36. And the median was 17.08.


Warrior Met Coal  (NYSE:HCC) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Warrior Met Coal's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=96.72/5.36
=18.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 11 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Warrior Met Coal was 20.09. The lowest was 12.36. And the median was 17.08.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Warrior Met Coal Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Warrior Met Coal Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Warrior Met Coal's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Warrior Met Coal Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Warrior Met Coal Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.98

Warrior Met Coal Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 5.15 4.98 5.02 5.36

HCC vs AMR, SXC, METC: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Coking Coal subindustry, Warrior Met Coal's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Warrior Met Coal Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Warrior Met Coal's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Warrior Met Coal's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


HCC
78GF Score
Warrior Met Coal Inc HCC
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Warrior Met Coal Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Warrior Met Coal's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=1.955/333.9520*333.9520
=1.955

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Warrior Met Coal Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201609 0.097 241.428 0.134
201612 0.170 241.432 0.235
201703 1.028 243.801 1.408
201706 2.741 244.955 3.737
201709 1.548 246.819 2.094
201712 1.159 246.524 1.570
201803 3.221 249.554 4.310
201806 1.877 251.989 2.488
201809 1.483 252.439 1.962
201812 2.058 251.233 2.736
201903 1.976 254.202 2.596
201906 3.942 256.143 5.139
201909 2.412 256.759 3.137
201912 -0.085 256.974 -0.110
202003 -0.034 258.115 -0.044
202006 0.117 257.797 0.152
202009 0.115 260.280 0.148
202012 0.294 260.474 0.377
202103 0.697 264.877 0.879
202106 1.059 271.696 1.302
202109 1.016 274.310 1.237
202112 2.927 278.802 3.506
202203 1.155 287.504 1.342
202206 4.985 296.311 5.618
202209 3.979 296.808 4.477
202212 2.121 296.797 2.387
202303 2.401 301.836 2.656
202306 -0.223 305.109 -0.244
202309 0.615 307.789 0.667
202312 1.233 306.746 1.342
202403 0.083 312.332 0.089
202406 0.688 314.175 0.731
202409 -1.024 315.301 -1.085
202412 -1.451 315.605 -1.535
202503 -1.098 319.799 -1.147
202506 -0.711 322.561 -0.736
202509 0.242 324.800 0.249
202512 -0.344 324.054 -0.355
202603 -1.741 330.213 -1.761
202606 1.955 333.952 1.955

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $5.36 mean?
Warrior Met Coal (HCC) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $5.36 as of Jun. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Warrior Met Coal and its competitors.
Is Warrior Met Coal's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Warrior Met Coal's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $5.36. Overall, Warrior Met Coal has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Warrior Met Coal's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to AMR and SXC?
Warrior Met Coal's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $5.36 can be compared against companies in the Steel industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Steel company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Steel industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Warrior Met Coal and its competitors. Warrior Met Coal's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $5.36. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Warrior Met Coal stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Warrior Met Coal (HCC) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $64.84, compared to a current price of $96.72 — trading 49.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $5.36. Warrior Met Coal's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Warrior Met Coal (HCC), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $5.36 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Warrior Met Coal (HCC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Warrior Met Coal stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $96.72 is trading 49.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $64.84. GuruFocus considers Warrior Met Coal to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for HCC:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $5.36
  • GF Value™: $64.84 vs. price of $96.72 (49.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HCC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Warrior Met Coal Business Description

Other Exchanges WJ4:Germany
Address 16243 Highway 216, Brookwood, AL, USA, 35444
Warrior Met Coal Inc produces and exports met or steelmaking coal, which is used as a component for steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. The company is involved in longwall mining operations in its underground mines based in Alabama, Mine No. 4, Mine No. 7, and Blue Creek. Additionally, its natural gas operations remove and sell natural gas from owned and leased coal seams by reducing natural gas levels in its mines. The company generates revenue mainly through the production of steelmaking coal for sale to the steel industry. Geographically, the firm generates maximum revenue from its customers in Asia, followed by Europe, South America, and the United States.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HCC

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$96.72
Price
$64.84
GF Value