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Overseas Shipholding Group (Overseas Shipholding Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $5.86 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Overseas Shipholding Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Overseas Shipholding Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $5.86. The stock price of Overseas Shipholding Group is $6.05. Therefore, Overseas Shipholding Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Overseas Shipholding Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

OSG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.11   Med: 0.33   Max: 1.04
Current: 1.03

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Overseas Shipholding Group was 1.04. The lowest was 0.11. And the median was 0.33.

OSG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
59.65% of 679 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.85 vs OSG: 1.03

Overseas Shipholding Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Overseas Shipholding Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Overseas Shipholding Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Overseas Shipholding Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.04 19.63 9.58 5.54 5.86

Overseas Shipholding Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.54 5.08 5.28 5.69 5.86

Competitive Comparison of Overseas Shipholding Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, Overseas Shipholding Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Overseas Shipholding Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Overseas Shipholding Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Overseas Shipholding Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Overseas Shipholding Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Overseas Shipholding Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $16.20.

Overseas Shipholding Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.7180950547477*16.20224+354.053*0.8)/75.227
=5.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Overseas Shipholding Group  (NYSE:OSG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Overseas Shipholding Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=6.05/5.8582331931333
=1.03

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Overseas Shipholding Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Overseas Shipholding Group (Overseas Shipholding Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
302 Knights Run Avenue, Tampa, FL, USA, 33602
Overseas Shipholding Group Inc is a tanker company which owns and operates a fleet of oceangoing vessels. It provides energy transportation services, delivering crude oil and petroleum products in the U.S. The company owns and operates a combined fleet of approximately 21 vessels registered in the United States. The company operates in the segment of the U.S. Flag Fleet. Majority of the company's revenue is generated in the form of time charters.
Executives
Samuel H Norton director, officer: President and CEO 58 NE 44TH STREET, MIAMI FL 33133
Elaine Goodman Luria director 7421 GLENEAGLES RD, NORFOLK VA 23505
Douglas D Wheat director, other: Chairman of the Board C/O HAAS WHEAT & PARTNERS LP, 300 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 1700, DALLAS TX 75201
Cyrus Capital Partners, L.p. director, 10 percent owner, other: SEE REMARKS 65 EAST 55 STREET, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Gary Eugene Taylor director 814 NORTH BEACH BLVD., BAY ST. LOUIS MS 39520
Julie Silcock director
Anja Manuel director C/O OVERSEAS SHIPHOLDING GROUP, INC., 302 KNIGHTS RUN AVENUE, TAMPA FL 33602
Joseph Isaac Kronsberg director 233 PACIFIC STREET, APT 4G, BROOKLYN NY 11201
Saltchuk Resources, Inc. 10 percent owner 450 ALASKAN WAY SOUTH, SUITE 708, SEATTLE WA 98104
Rebecca K Delaet director 34 BEACH AVENUE, LARCHMONT NY 10538
Ty Wallach director C/O PAULSON & CO INC., 1251 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
Paulson & Co. Inc. 10 percent owner 1133 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
J Patrick Reddy director
Susan Allan officer: VP, General Counsel & Corp Sec 302 KNIGHTS RUN AVENUE, SUITE 1200, TAMPA FL 33602
Richard Trueblood officer: CFO 10812 BULLRUSH TERRACE, LAKEWOOD RANCH FL 34202