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Select Medical Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $40.08 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2021-10-15), Select Medical Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $40.08. The stock price of Select Medical Holdings is $33.46. Therefore, Select Medical Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Select Medical Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NYSE:SEM' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.45   Med: 0.84   Max: 1.15
Current: 0.83

0.45
1.15

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Select Medical Holdings was 1.15. The lowest was 0.45. And the median was 0.84.

NYSE:SEM's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked lower than
99.99% of the 107 Companies
in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry.

( Industry Median: 1.16 vs. NYSE:SEM: 0.83 )

Select Medical Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Select Medical Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Select Medical Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.39 17.47 19.79 22.15 34.85

Select Medical Holdings Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 32.82 34.06 34.85 36.98 40.08

Competitive Comparison

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Select Medical Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Select Medical Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Select Medical Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Select Medical Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Select Medical Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Select Medical Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $318.26.

Select Medical Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun21)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.319242326454*318.2608+1234.225*0.8)/130.396
=40.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Select Medical Holdings  (NYSE:SEM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Select Medical Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=33.46/40.080774856675
=0.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Select Medical Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Select Medical Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Select Medical Holdings Business Description

Select Medical Holdings logo
Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4714 Gettysburg Road, P.O. Box 2034, Mechanicsburg, PA, USA, 17055
Select Medical Holdings Corp is a healthcare company that operates through four main segments: critical illness recovery hospitals, rehabilitation hospitals, outpatient rehabilitation clinics, and Concentra institutions. Critical illness recovery hospitals and rehabilitation centers are designed for patients requiring extended recovery time with medical services. These two sectors combined compose roughly half of the total revenue and include over 100 critical illness recovery hospitals and inpatient rehab facilities. The outpatient rehabilitation segment includes over 1,700 rehabilitation clinics. The Concentra segment includes over 500 institutions. The company is headquartered in Pennsylvania, and it operates across the United States.
Executives
Ortenzio Rocco A director, officer: Vice Chairman and Co-Founder SELECT MEDICAL CORP 4716 OLD GETTYSBURG RD PO BOX 2034 MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Romberger Scott A officer: Senior Vice President 4716 OLD GETTYSBURG ROAD PO BOX 2034 MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Tarvin Michael E officer: Executive Vice President 4716 OLD GETTYSBURG ROAD PO BOX 2034 MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Saich John A. officer: Executive Vice President C/O SELECT MEDICAL HOLDINGS CORPORATION 4714 GETTYSBURG ROAD MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Chernow David S officer: President and CEO C/O JUNIOR ACHIEVEMENT INC ONE EDUCATION WAY COLORADO SPRINGS CO 80906
Jackson Martin F officer: Executive Vice President 4716 OLD GETTYSBURG ROAD PO BOX 2034 MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Thomas Daniel director C/O SELECT MEDICAL CORPORATION 4714 GETTYSBURG ROAD P.O. BOX 2034 MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Cressey Bryan C director C/O CLARION TECHNOLOGIES INC 235 CENTRAL AVE HOLLAND MI 49423
Scully Thomas director 320 PARK AVENUE, SUITE # 2500 NEW YORK NM 10022
Carson Russell L director 320 PARK AVENUE STE 2500 NEW YORK NY 10022
Frist William H. director 600 MONTGOMERY STREET SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Ely James S. Iii director 4000 MERIDIAN BLVD FRANKLIN TN 37067
Ortenzio Robert A director, officer: Exec. Chairman and Co-Founder 4718 OLD GETTYSBURG RD POST OFFICE BOX 2034 MECHANICSBURG PA 30309
Tavenner Marilyn B director BOULDERS III 7800 BEAUFORT SPRING DR RICHMOND VA 23235
Breighner Robert G. Jr officer: Vice President, Compliance C/O SELECT MEDICAL HOLDINGS CORPORATION 4714 GETTYSBURG ROAD MACHANICSBURG PA 17055

Select Medical Holdings Headlines

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