Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2022-08-13), Toll Brothers's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $111.70. The stock price of Toll Brothers is $50.04. Therefore, Toll Brothers's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.
The historical rank and industry rank for Toll Brothers's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
TOL'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.35 Med: 1.39 Max: 18.33
Current: 0.45
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Toll Brothers was 18.33. The lowest was 0.35. And the median was 1.39.
TOL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 71.62% of 74
companies
in the Homebuilding & Construction industry
Industry Median: 0.65
vs TOL: 0.45
Toll Brothers Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
The historical data trend for Toll Brothers's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
Toll Brothers Annual Data
Trend
Oct12
Oct13
Oct14
Oct15
Oct16
Oct17
Oct18
Oct19
Oct20
Oct21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
29.67
46.54
63.05
87.16
114.08
Toll Brothers Quarterly Data
Jul17
Oct17
Jan18
Apr18
Jul18
Oct18
Jan19
Apr19
Jul19
Oct19
Jan20
Apr20
Jul20
Oct20
Jan21
Apr21
Jul21
Oct21
Jan22
Apr22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
84.96
93.82
114.08
105.87
111.70
Competitive Comparison
For the Residential Construction subindustry, Toll Brothers's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Toll Brothers Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution
For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Toll Brothers's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Toll Brothers's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Toll Brothers's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
50.04
/
111.69664068983
=
0.45
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Toll Brothers Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Toll Brothers's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Toll Brothers is the leading luxury homebuilder in the United States with an average sale price well above public competitors'. The company operates in 60 markets across 24 states and caters to move-up, active-adult, and second-home buyers. Traditional homebuilding operations represent most of company's revenue. Toll Brothers also builds luxury for-sale and for-rent properties in urban centers across the U.S. It has its headquarters in Horsham, Pennsylvania.
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