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Waste Connections Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $53.20 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2021-09-27), Waste Connections's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $53.20. The stock price of Waste Connections is $132.31. Therefore, Waste Connections's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Waste Connections's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NYSE:WCN' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.75   Med: 1.15   Max: 2.49
Current: 2.49

0.75
2.49

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Waste Connections was 2.49. The lowest was 0.75. And the median was 1.15.

NYSE:WCN's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked lower than
69% of the 100 Companies
in the Waste Management industry.

( Industry Median: 1.43 vs. NYSE:WCN: 2.49 )

Waste Connections Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Waste Connections's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Waste Connections Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.11 36.62 42.63 49.11 51.15

Waste Connections Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 49.86 50.96 51.15 52.61 53.20

Competitive Comparison

For the Waste Management subindustry, Waste Connections's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Waste Connections Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Waste Management industry and Industrials sector, Waste Connections's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Waste Connections's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Waste Connections Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Waste Connections's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $709.83.

Waste Connections's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun21)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.854592825659*709.83312+6864.383*0.8)/261.419
=53.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Waste Connections  (NYSE:WCN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Waste Connections's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=132.31/53.195402827519
=2.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Waste Connections Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Waste Connections's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Waste Connections Business Description

Waste Connections logo
Industry
Industrials » Waste Management NAICS : 221310 SIC : 4931
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
610 Applewood Crescent, 2nd Floor, Vaughan, ON, CAN, L4K 0E3
Waste Connections is the third- largest integrated provider of traditional solid waste and recycling services in the North America, operating 91 active landfills (12 are E&P waste landfills), 132 transfer stations, and 68 recycling operations. The firm serves residential, commercial, industrial, and energy end markets. Waste Connections entered the Canadian market with its 2016 merger with Progressive Waste. In 2020, 13% of consolidated revenue was generated from the firm's Canadian segment.

Waste Connections Headlines

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