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Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $92.12 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2021-05-15), Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $92.12. The stock price of Shin-Etsu Chemical Co is $162.696. Therefore, Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.8.

OTCPK:SHECF' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.88   Med: 1.63   Max: 2.9
Current: 1.77

0.88
2.9

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Shin-Etsu Chemical Co was 2.90. The lowest was 0.88. And the median was 1.63.

OTCPK:SHECF's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked lower than
62% of the 991 Companies
in the Chemicals industry.

( Industry Median: 1.30 vs. OTCPK:SHECF: 1.77 )

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Annual Data
Mar11 Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 60.94 63.34 76.47 85.02 90.25

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Quarterly Data
Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 46.49 90.25 - - -

Competitive Comparison
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap.


Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

* The bar in red indicates where Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,454.94.

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar20)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.608723088515*1454.9411105091+24652.006690982*0.8)/415.924
=91.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Shin-Etsu Chemical Co  (OTCPK:SHECF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=162.696/91.522862170232
=1.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Headlines

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