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TripAdvisor (NAS:TRIP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $16.71 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2023-06-08), TripAdvisor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $16.71. The stock price of TripAdvisor is $16.31. Therefore, TripAdvisor's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for TripAdvisor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TRIP' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.71   Med: 1.51   Max: 3.83
Current: 0.98

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of TripAdvisor was 3.83. The lowest was 0.71. And the median was 1.51.

TRIP's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
59.78% of 537 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 1.21 vs TRIP: 0.98

TripAdvisor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for TripAdvisor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

TripAdvisor Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.50 27.53 19.05 15.46 14.93

TripAdvisor Quarterly Data
Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.20 16.57 14.73 14.93 16.71

Competitive Comparison

For the Travel Services subindustry, TripAdvisor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

TripAdvisor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, TripAdvisor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TripAdvisor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF's extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.



TripAdvisor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get TripAdvisor's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $180.32.

TripAdvisor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*180.32+808*0.8)/141.451
=16.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


TripAdvisor  (NAS:TRIP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

TripAdvisor's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=16.31/16.706207801885
=0.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


TripAdvisor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of TripAdvisor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


TripAdvisor (NAS:TRIP) Business Description

TripAdvisor logo
Address
400 1st Avenue, Needham, MA, USA, 02494
TripAdvisor is the world's leading travel metasearch company. The website offers 1 billion reviews and information on about 8 million accommodations, restaurants, experiences, airlines, and cruises. In 2021, 74% of revenue came from the company's core segment, which includes hotel revenue generated through advertising on its metasearch platform. Viator, its experiences brand, was 20% of sales in 2021, and TheFork, its dining brand, represented 9% of revenue (about 3% of sales were intersegment, which are eliminated from consolidated revenue).
Executives
Michael Noonan officer: CFO & SVP C/O TRIPADVISOR, INC., 400 1ST AVENUE, NEEDHAM MA 02494
Matt Goldberg director, officer: CEO and President 2 WISCONSIN CIRCLE, 7TH FLOOR, CHEVY CHASE MD 20815
Jay C Hoag director 250 MIDDLEFIELD ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Jie Sun director BUILDING 16#, NO. 968 JIN ZHONG ROAD, SHANGHAI F4 200335
Kanika Soni officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O TRIPADVISOR INC., 400 1ST AVENUE, NEEDHAM MA 02494
Lindsay Nelson officer: Chief Experience&Brand Officer C/O TRIPADVISOR INC., 400 FIRST AVENUE, NEEDHAM MA 02494
Certares Ltrip Llc director 350 MADISON AVENUE 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Pemrose Corp director 350 MADISON AVENUE 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Certares Holdings (blockable) Llc director 350 MADISON AVENUE 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Certares Holdings Llc director 350 MADISON AVENUE 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Certares Holdings (optional) Llc director 350 MADISON AVENUE 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Certares Management Llc director 350 MADISON AVENUE 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Clementine Investments Llc director 350 MADISON AVENUE 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Farmer Colin Michael director C/O CERTARES MANAGEMENT LLC, 350 MADISON AVENUE, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Michael Gregory Ohara director C/O CERTARES MANAGEMENT LLC, 350 MADISON AVENUE, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017

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