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ConocoPhillips Peter Lynch Fair Value

: $263.76 (As of Today)
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Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, ConocoPhillips's PEG is 1. ConocoPhillips's 5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 21.78. ConocoPhillips's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2022 was $12.11. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $263.76.

As of today (2022-08-14), ConocoPhillips's share price is $102.75. ConocoPhillips's Peter Lynch fair value is $263.76. Therefore, ConocoPhillips's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 0.39.


The historical rank and industry rank for ConocoPhillips's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

COP' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.2   Med: 0.52   Max: 20.01
Current: 0.39


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of ConocoPhillips was 20.01. The lowest was 0.20. And the median was 0.52.


COP's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked better than
73.68% of 152 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.75 vs COP: 0.39

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


ConocoPhillips Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for ConocoPhillips's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ConocoPhillips Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 160.05 - 112.11

ConocoPhillips Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Peter Lynch Fair Value Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 29.00 84.00 112.11 185.56 263.76

Competitive Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, ConocoPhillips's Peter Lynch Fair Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Peter Lynch Fair Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

ConocoPhillips Peter Lynch Fair Value Distribution

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, ConocoPhillips's Peter Lynch Fair Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ConocoPhillips's Peter Lynch Fair Value falls into.



ConocoPhillips Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

ConocoPhillips's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate*EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 21.78 *12.11
=263.76

ConocoPhillips's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2022 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $12.11.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


ConocoPhillips  (NYSE:COP) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 21.78 instead of 15 in this case.

ConocoPhillips's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=102.75/263.76
=0.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


ConocoPhillips Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of ConocoPhillips's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


ConocoPhillips Business Description

ConocoPhillips logo
Industry
Address
925 North Eldridge Parkway, Houston, TX, USA, 77079
ConocoPhillips is a U.S.-based independent exploration and production firm. At the end of 2020, it produced 727,000 barrels per day of oil and natural gas liquids and 2.4 billion cubic feet per day of natural gas, primarily from Alaska and the Lower 48 in the United States and Norway in Europe and several countries in Asia-Pacific and the Middle East. Proven reserves at year-end 2020 were 4.5 billion barrels of oil equivalent.
Executives
Harper Jack F officer: Executive Vice President SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER 16930 PARK ROW DR. HOUSTON TX 77084
Haynes Welsh Kontessa S officer: Chief Accounting Officer SHIPPING & RECEIVING 16930 PARK ROW DR. HOUSTON TX 77084
Sirdashney Heather G officer: Vice President SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER 16930 PARK ROW DR. HOUSTON TX 77084
Leach Timothy A director, officer: Executive Vice President 7220 MEADOW ROAD DALLAS TX 75230
Mullins Eric D. director HERITAGE PLAZA, 1111 BAGBY STREET SUITE 4600 HOUSTON TX 77002
Olds Nicholas G officer: Senior Vice President SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER 16930 PARK ROW DR. HOUSTON TX 77084
Walker R A director 1201 LAKE ROBBINS DRIVE THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Seaton David Thomas director 6700 LAS COLINAS BOULEVARD IRVING TX 75039
Macklon Dominic E. officer: President SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER 16930 PARK ROW DR. HOUSTON TX 77084
Bullock William L. Jr. officer: President SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER 16930 PARK ROW DR. HOUSTON TX 77084
Hatfield Michael D. officer: President SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER 16930 PARK ROW DR. HOUSTON TX 77084
Brooks Catherine A. officer: VP & Controller SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER 16930 PARK ROW DR. HOUSTON TX 77084
Mcraven William H. director SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER 16930 PARK ROW DR. HOUSTON TX 77084
Rose Kelly Brunetti officer: SVP & General Counsel SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER 16930 PARK ROW DR. HOUSTON TX 77084
Joerres Jeffrey A director 5301 NORTH IRONWOOD ROAD MILWAUKEE WI 53217

ConocoPhillips Headlines

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