CME (CME Group) Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): -19.70% (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


CME CME Group Inc CME
81 GF Score
Price $231.68
GF Value $270.89
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is CME Group Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)?

CME Group CME -4.41% 81 Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -19.70% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates CME with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of $270.89 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based).

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-24), CME Group's Predictability Rank is 4.5-Stars. CME Group's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $193.55 and current share price is $231.68. Consequently,

CME Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model is -19.70%.

CME vs ICE, MCO, SPGI: Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Comparison

For the Financial Data & Stock Exchanges subindustry, CME Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

CME Group Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, CME Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CME Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) falls into.


CME
81GF Score
CME Group Inc CME
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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CME Group Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Calculation

CME Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(193.55-231.68)/193.55
=-19.70 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of -19.70% mean?
CME Group (CME) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of -19.70% as of Jun. 24, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF Earnings price. View historical data on CME Group.
Is CME Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) too high?
CME Group's current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -19.70%. Overall, CME Group has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does CME Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) compare to ICE and MCO?
CME Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of -19.70% can be compared against companies in the Capital Markets industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) for a Capital Markets company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) depends on the Capital Markets industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF Earnings price. View historical data on CME Group. CME Group's current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -19.70%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is CME Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CME Group (CME) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $270.89, compared to a current price of $231.68 — trading 14.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -19.70%. CME Group's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For CME Group (CME), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -19.70% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is CME Group (CME) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CME Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $231.68 is trading 14.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $270.89. GuruFocus considers CME Group to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for CME:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): -19.70%
  • GF Value™: $270.89 vs. price of $231.68 (14.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CME stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

CME Group Business Description

Address 20 South Wacker Drive, Chicago, IL, USA, 60606
Based in Chicago, CME Group operates exchanges giving investors, suppliers, and businesses the ability to trade futures and derivatives based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign currencies, energy, metals, and commodities. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange was founded in 1898 and in 2002 completed its IPO. Since then, CME Group has consolidated parts of the industry by merging with crosstown rival CBOT Holdings in 2007 before acquiring Nymex Holdings in 2008 and NEX in 2018. In addition, the company has a 27% stake in S&P Dow Jones Indexes, making the Chicago Mercantile Exchange the exclusive venue to trade and clear S&P futures contracts. Through CME's acquisition of NEX, it also expanded into cash foreign exchange, fixed-income trading, and collateral optimization.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CME

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$231.68
Price
$270.89
GF Value