Vistra (MEX:VST) Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): N/A (As of Jul. 14, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:VST Vistra Corp MEX:VST
80 GF Score
Price MXN2,765.00
GF Value MXN2,911.51
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Vistra Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)?

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based).

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Vistra's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero and Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is not calculated.


MEX:VST vs NRG, TLN, CEG: Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Comparison

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers subindustry, Vistra's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vistra Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Vistra's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vistra's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) falls into.


MEX:VST
80GF Score
Vistra Corp MEX:VST
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Vistra (MEX:VST) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vistra stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN2,765.00 is trading 5% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,911.51. GuruFocus considers Vistra to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:VST:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): N/A
  • GF Value™: MXN2,911.51 vs. price of MXN2,765.00 (5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:VST stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Vistra Business Description

Address 6555 Sierra Drive, Irving, TX, USA, 75039
Vistra Corp. is one of the largest power producers and retail energy providers in the US. It owns 44 gigawatts of generation capacity, including natural gas (27 GW), nuclear (6.5 GW), coal (8.7 GW), and solar and battery storage (1.3 GW). The Cogentrix acquisition will add 5.5 GW of gas generation. Vistra's retail electricity business serves 5 million customers in 20 states, including almost a third of all Texas electricity consumers. Vistra emerged from the Energy Future Holdings bankruptcy as a stand-alone entity in 2016.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:VST

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN2,765.00
Price
MXN2,911.51
GF Value