Kweichow Moutai Co (SHSE:600519) Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): 33.43% (As of Jul. 23, 2026)

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SHSE:600519 Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd SHSE:600519
99 GF Score
Price ¥1,292.01
GF Value ¥1,594.27
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Kweichow Moutai Co Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)?

Kweichow Moutai Co SHSE:600519 -1.00% 99 Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 33.43% as of Jul. 23, 2026. GuruFocus rates SHSE:600519 with a GF Score™ of 99/100 and a GF Value™ of ¥1,594.27 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based).

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-07-23), Kweichow Moutai Co's Predictability Rank is 3.5-Stars. Kweichow Moutai Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is ¥1940.86 and current share price is ¥1292.01. Consequently,

Kweichow Moutai Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model is 33.43%.


SHSE:600519 vs BF.B: Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Comparison

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Kweichow Moutai Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kweichow Moutai Co Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Kweichow Moutai Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kweichow Moutai Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) falls into.


SHSE:600519
99GF Score
Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd SHSE:600519
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Kweichow Moutai Co Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Calculation

Kweichow Moutai Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(1940.86-1292.01)/1940.86
=33.43 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of 33.43% mean?
Kweichow Moutai Co (SHSE:600519) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of 33.43% as of Jul. 23, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF Earnings price. View historical data on Kweichow Moutai Co.
Is Kweichow Moutai Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) too high?
Kweichow Moutai Co's current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 33.43%. Overall, Kweichow Moutai Co has a GF Score™ of 99/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Kweichow Moutai Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) compare to BF.B?
Kweichow Moutai Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of 33.43% can be compared against companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) depends on the Beverages - Alcoholic industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF Earnings price. View historical data on Kweichow Moutai Co. Kweichow Moutai Co's current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 33.43%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Kweichow Moutai Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kweichow Moutai Co (SHSE:600519) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ¥1,594.27, compared to a current price of ¥1,292.01 — trading 19% below its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 33.43%. Kweichow Moutai Co's overall GF Score™ is 99/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Kweichow Moutai Co (SHSE:600519), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 33.43% as of Jul. 23, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Kweichow Moutai Co (SHSE:600519) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kweichow Moutai Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ¥1,292.01 is trading 19% below its estimated GF Value™ of ¥1,594.27. GuruFocus considers Kweichow Moutai Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for SHSE:600519:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): 33.43%
  • GF Value™: ¥1,594.27 vs. price of ¥1,292.01 (19% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 99/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SHSE:600519 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Kweichow Moutai Co Business Description

Other Exchanges MOUTAI80:Thailand
Address Maotai Town, Guizhou Province, Renhuai, CHN, 564501
Kweichow Moutai is China's largest baijiu producer, with sales revenue of over CNY 170 billion in 2024. Established in 1951, Moutai is headquartered in Moutai Town, Renhuai City, Guizhou province, in southwest China. Its core product, 53-degree Feitian Moutai, is known as China's national drink and has been consumed during many high-profile historical and political events. Moutai's unparalleled brand strength and premium product quality have led to remarkable pricing power, allowing it to achieve the industry's highest retail prices and profit margins. The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of Guizhou province, through Moutai Group, controls a 49% stake in Kweichow Moutai.
99GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SHSE:600519

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

¥1,292.01
Price
¥1,594.27
GF Value