Kweichow Moutai Co (SHSE:600519) Beneish M-Score: -2.36 (As of Jul. 23, 2026)

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SHSE:600519 Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd SHSE:600519
99 GF Score
Price ¥1,292.01
GF Value ¥1,594.27
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Kweichow Moutai Co Beneish M-Score?

Kweichow Moutai Co SHSE:600519 -1.00% 99 Beneish M-Score is -2.36 as of Jul. 23, 2026. GuruFocus rates SHSE:600519 with a GF Score™ of 99/100 and a GF Value™ of ¥1,594.27 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 199 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, Kweichow Moutai Co ranks worse than 69.35% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.36 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kweichow Moutai Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:600519' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.39   Med: -2.33   Max: 92.43
Current: -2.36

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Kweichow Moutai Co was 92.43. The lowest was -4.39. And the median was -2.33.


Kweichow Moutai Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Kweichow Moutai Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Kweichow Moutai Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Kweichow Moutai Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.56 -2.00 -2.15 -2.45 -2.25

Kweichow Moutai Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.31 -2.02 -2.34 -2.25 -2.36

SHSE:600519 vs BF.B: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Kweichow Moutai Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kweichow Moutai Co Beneish M-Score vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Kweichow Moutai Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kweichow Moutai Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SHSE:600519
99GF Score
Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd SHSE:600519
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Kweichow Moutai Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Kweichow Moutai Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0367+0.528 * 1.0138+0.404 * 1.0649+0.892 * 0.9788+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1429+4.679 * 0.009666-0.327 * 0.8554
=-2.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥160,025 Mil.
Revenue was 54702.912 + 41150.282 + 39810.127 + 39650.312 = ¥175,314 Mil.
Gross Profit was 49182.183 + 37441.977 + 36403.646 + 35934.251 = ¥158,962 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥271,525 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥319,919 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥25,214 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥11,831 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥38,456 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥189 Mil.
Net Income was 27242.513 + 17693.32 + 19223.784 + 18555.488 = ¥82,715 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 26909.891 + 23325.403 + 25077.741 + 4309.865 = ¥79,623 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥157,702 Mil.
Revenue was 51443.451 + 51021.527 + 39671.378 + 36966.427 = ¥179,103 Mil.
Gross Profit was 47382.02 + 47460.122 + 36194.18 + 33596.84 = ¥164,633 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥266,507 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥312,369 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥24,609 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥10,575 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥43,870 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥242 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(160024.725 / 175313.633) / (157702.493 / 179102.783)
=0.912791 / 0.880514
=1.0367

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(164633.162 / 179102.783) / (158962.057 / 175313.633)
=0.919211 / 0.90673
=1.0138

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (271524.529 + 25214.444) / 319918.845) / (1 - (266506.714 + 24608.543) / 312368.697)
=0.072455 / 0.06804
=1.0649

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=175313.633 / 179102.783
=0.9788

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 24608.543)) / (0 / (0 + 25214.444))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(11831.129 / 175313.633) / (10575.292 / 179102.783)
=0.067486 / 0.059046
=1.1429

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((189.112 + 38455.595) / 319918.845) / ((241.63 + 43870.178) / 312368.697)
=0.120795 / 0.141217
=0.8554

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(82715.105 - 0 - 79622.9) / 319918.845
=0.009666

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Kweichow Moutai Co has a M-score of -2.36 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.36 mean?
Kweichow Moutai Co (SHSE:600519) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.36 as of Jul. 23, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kweichow Moutai Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Kweichow Moutai Co ranks #138 out of 199 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 69.3%.
Is Kweichow Moutai Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Kweichow Moutai Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.36. Based on the distribution chart, Kweichow Moutai Co ranks #138 out of 199 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Kweichow Moutai Co has a GF Score™ of 99/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Kweichow Moutai Co's Beneish M-Score compare to BF.B?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Kweichow Moutai Co ranks #138 out of 199 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Kweichow Moutai Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Beverages - Alcoholic industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kweichow Moutai Co and its competitors. Kweichow Moutai Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.36. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Kweichow Moutai Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kweichow Moutai Co (SHSE:600519) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ¥1,594.27, compared to a current price of ¥1,292.01 — trading 19% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.36. Kweichow Moutai Co's overall GF Score™ is 99/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Kweichow Moutai Co (SHSE:600519), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.36 as of Jul. 23, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Kweichow Moutai Co (SHSE:600519) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kweichow Moutai Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ¥1,292.01 is trading 19% below its estimated GF Value™ of ¥1,594.27. GuruFocus considers Kweichow Moutai Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for SHSE:600519:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.36
  • GF Value™: ¥1,594.27 vs. price of ¥1,292.01 (19% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 99/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SHSE:600519 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Kweichow Moutai Co Business Description

Other Exchanges MOUTAI80:Thailand
Address Maotai Town, Guizhou Province, Renhuai, CHN, 564501
Kweichow Moutai is China's largest baijiu producer, with sales revenue of over CNY 170 billion in 2024. Established in 1951, Moutai is headquartered in Moutai Town, Renhuai City, Guizhou province, in southwest China. Its core product, 53-degree Feitian Moutai, is known as China's national drink and has been consumed during many high-profile historical and political events. Moutai's unparalleled brand strength and premium product quality have led to remarkable pricing power, allowing it to achieve the industry's highest retail prices and profit margins. The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of Guizhou province, through Moutai Group, controls a 49% stake in Kweichow Moutai.
99GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SHSE:600519

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

¥1,292.01
Price
¥1,594.27
GF Value