GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Co) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): -84.54% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Co GPK
64 GF Score
Price $10.93
GF Value $23.07
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Graphic Packaging Holding Co Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

Graphic Packaging Holding Co GPK +1.44% 64 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -84.54% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates GPK with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of $23.07 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-25), Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Predictability Rank is 3.5-Stars. Graphic Packaging Holding Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is $32.75 and current share price is $10.925. Consequently,

Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is -84.54%.

GPK vs GEF, SLGN, AMBP: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Graphic Packaging Holding Co Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


GPK
64GF Score
Graphic Packaging Holding Co GPK
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Graphic Packaging Holding Co Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(5.92-10.925)/5.92
=-84.54 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -84.54% mean?
Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -84.54% as of Jun. 25, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Graphic Packaging Holding Co.
Is Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
Graphic Packaging Holding Co's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -84.54%. Overall, Graphic Packaging Holding Co has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to GEF and SLGN?
Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -84.54% can be compared against companies in the Packaging & Containers industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for a Packaging & Containers company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Packaging & Containers industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Graphic Packaging Holding Co. Graphic Packaging Holding Co's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -84.54%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Graphic Packaging Holding Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $23.07, compared to a current price of $10.93 — trading 52.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -84.54%. Graphic Packaging Holding Co's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -84.54% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Graphic Packaging Holding Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $10.93 is trading 52.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of $23.07. GuruFocus considers Graphic Packaging Holding Co to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for GPK:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): -84.54%
  • GF Value™: $23.07 vs. price of $10.93 (52.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the GPK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Graphic Packaging Holding Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 4W8:Germany
Address 1500 Riveredge Parkway, Suite 100, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30328
Graphic Packaging Holding Co is a holding company that manufactures and sells a variety of paper-based consumer packaging products through its subsidiaries. The company's reportable segments are; Americas Paperboard Packaging, and International Paperboard Packaging. The majority of the revenue is generated from its Americas Paperboard Packaging segment which includes paperboard packaging sold predominantly to consumer packaged goods (CPG) companies and cups, lids and food containers sold to foodservice companies and quick-service restaurants (QSR) serving the food, beverage, and consumer product markets in the Americas. Geographically, the company operates in Americas, Europe and Asia Pacific regions.
64GF Score

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Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$10.93
Price
$23.07
GF Value