Graphic Packaging Holding CoGPK +1.28%64 Peter Lynch Fair Value is $12.01 as of Jul. 11, 2026, which is 810% above its 10-year median of 1.32. GuruFocus rates GPK with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of $23.09 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 119 Packaging & Containers companies, Graphic Packaging Holding Co ranks better than 64.71% on this metric.
Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.
Here, as of today, Graphic Packaging Holding Co's PEG is 1. Graphic Packaging Holding Co's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 8.7.
Graphic Packaging Holding Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was $1.38. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $12.01.
The historical rank and industry rank for Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:
GPK'
s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.57 Med: 1.32 Max: 2.54
Current: 0.86
During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Graphic Packaging Holding Co was 2.54. The lowest was 0.57. And the median was 1.32.
GPK's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked better than 64.71% of 119
companies
in the Packaging & Containers industry
Industry Median: 1.05
vs GPK: 0.86
Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.
Graphic Packaging Holding Co (NYSE:GPK) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation
Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.
Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.
Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 8.7 instead of 15 in this case.
Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as
Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value
=
Share Price
/
Peter Lynch Fair Value
=
10.28
/
12.01
=
0.86
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Graphic Packaging Holding Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms
Graphic Packaging Holding Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Graphic Packaging Holding Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart
GPK vs AMBP, GEF, SLGN: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison
For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Graphic Packaging Holding Co Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Packaging & Containers Industry
For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.
Graphic Packaging Holding Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $1.38.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.
If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.
If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.
Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $12.01 mean?
Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $12.01 as of Jul. 11, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Graphic Packaging Holding Co and its competitors. This is 810% above median its historical median of 1.32. Over the past decade, Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.57 to 2.54. According to the industry distribution chart, Graphic Packaging Holding Co ranks #42 out of 119 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 35.3%.
Is Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
Graphic Packaging Holding Co's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $12.01 is 810% above median its 10-year median of 1.32. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.57 to a high of 2.54. The Packaging & Containers industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.05. Graphic Packaging Holding Co's value of $12.01 is 1043.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Graphic Packaging Holding Co ranks #42 out of 119 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Graphic Packaging Holding Co has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to AMBP and GEF?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Graphic Packaging Holding Co ranks #42 out of 119 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This puts Graphic Packaging Holding Co in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.05. Graphic Packaging Holding Co's value of $12.01 is 1043.8% above this benchmark. Historically, Graphic Packaging Holding Co's own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.57 to 2.54 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.32 vs. the industry median of 1.05, Graphic Packaging Holding Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Packaging & Containers company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Packaging & Containers companies is 1.05, based on 119 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Graphic Packaging Holding Co's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $12.01 is 1043.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Graphic Packaging Holding Co and its competitors. For the Packaging & Containers industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.05 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Graphic Packaging Holding Co's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $12.01, which is 810% above median its own 10-year median of 1.32. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Graphic Packaging Holding Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $23.09, compared to a current price of $10.28 — trading 55.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $12.01, which is 810% above median its 10-year median of 1.32 and 1043.8% above the Packaging & Containers industry median of 1.05. Graphic Packaging Holding Co's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $12.01 as of Jul. 11, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Graphic Packaging Holding Co stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $10.28 is trading 55.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $23.09.
GuruFocus considers Graphic Packaging Holding Co to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for GPK:
Peter Lynch Fair Value: $12.01 (810% above median its 10-year median of 1.32)
GF Value™: $23.09 vs. price of $10.28 (55.5% below fair value)
Industry Position: 1043.8% above the Packaging & Containers median (#42 of 119)
No single metric tells the full story. See the GPK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Graphic Packaging Holding Co is a holding company that manufactures and sells a variety of paper-based consumer packaging products through its subsidiaries. The company's reportable segments are; Americas Paperboard Packaging, and International Paperboard Packaging. The majority of the revenue is generated from its Americas Paperboard Packaging segment which includes paperboard packaging sold predominantly to consumer packaged goods (CPG) companies and cups, lids and food containers sold to foodservice companies and quick-service restaurants (QSR) serving the food, beverage, and consumer product markets in the Americas. Geographically, the company operates in Americas, Europe and Asia Pacific regions.
64GF Score
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