Union Pacific (HAM:UNP) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): -74.07% (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


HAM:UNP Union Pacific Corp HAM:UNP
91 GF Score
Price €228.40
GF Value €216.95
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Union Pacific Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

Union Pacific HAM:UNP +0.26% 91 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -74.07% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates HAM:UNP with a GF Score™ of 91/100 and a GF Value™ of €216.95. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-24), Union Pacific's Predictability Rank is 5-Stars. Union Pacific's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is €132.68 and current share price is €228.40. Consequently,

Union Pacific's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is -74.07%.

HAM:UNP vs CSX, NSC, WAB: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, Union Pacific's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Union Pacific Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Union Pacific's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Union Pacific's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


HAM:UNP
91GF Score
Union Pacific Corp HAM:UNP
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Union Pacific Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

Union Pacific's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(131.21-228.40)/131.21
=-74.07 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -74.07% mean?
Union Pacific (HAM:UNP) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -74.07% as of Jun. 24, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Union Pacific.
Is Union Pacific's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
Union Pacific's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -74.07%. Overall, Union Pacific has a GF Score™ of 91/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Union Pacific's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to CSX and NSC?
Union Pacific's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -74.07% can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for a Transportation company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Union Pacific. Union Pacific's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -74.07%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Union Pacific stock overvalued right now?
Union Pacific (HAM:UNP) has a current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -74.07%. The stock's GF Value™ is €216.95, compared to a current price of €228.40 — trading 5.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -74.07%. Union Pacific's overall GF Score™ is 91/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Union Pacific (HAM:UNP), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -74.07% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Union Pacific (HAM:UNP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Union Pacific stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €228.40 is trading 5.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of €216.95.

Key valuation signals for HAM:UNP:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): -74.07%
  • GF Value™: €216.95 vs. price of €228.40 (5.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 91/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HAM:UNP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Union Pacific Business Description

Address 1400 Douglas Street, Omaha, NE, USA, 68179
Omaha, Nebraska-based Union Pacific is the largest public railroad in North America. Operating on more than 30,000 miles of track in the western two-thirds of the US, Union Pacific generated $24.5 billion of revenue in 2025 by hauling coal, industrial products, intermodal containers, agricultural goods, chemicals, fertilizers, and automotive goods. Union Pacific owns about one-fourth of Mexican railroad Ferromex and historically derives roughly 10% of its revenue hauling freight to and from Mexico.
91GF Score

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Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€228.40
Price
€216.95
GF Value