Union Pacific (HAM:UNP) Beneish M-Score: -2.65 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


HAM:UNP Union Pacific Corp HAM:UNP
91 GF Score
Price €228.40
GF Value €216.95
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Union Pacific Beneish M-Score?

Union Pacific HAM:UNP +0.26% 91 Beneish M-Score is -2.65 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates HAM:UNP with a GF Score™ of 91/100 and a GF Value™ of €216.95. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, Union Pacific ranks better than 56% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.65 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Union Pacific's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HAM:UNP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.03   Med: -2.65   Max: -1.97
Current: -2.65

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Union Pacific was -1.97. The lowest was -3.03. And the median was -2.65.


Union Pacific Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Union Pacific's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Union Pacific Beneish M-Score Chart

Union Pacific Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.35 -2.61 -2.52 -2.76 -2.65

Union Pacific Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.80 -2.64 0.00 -2.65 0.00

HAM:UNP vs CSX, NSC, WAB: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, Union Pacific's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Union Pacific Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Union Pacific's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Union Pacific's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HAM:UNP
91GF Score
Union Pacific Corp HAM:UNP
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Union Pacific Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Union Pacific for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9716+0.528 * 0.9944+0.404 * 1.0693+0.892 * 0.9038+0.115 * 0.9902
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.039097-0.327 * 0.9743
=-2.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €1,588 Mil.
Revenue was €20,932 Mil.
Gross Profit was €9,582 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €3,890 Mil.
Total Assets was €59,522 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €51,822 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €2,105 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €4,282 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €26,501 Mil.
Net Income was €6,096 Mil.
Gross Profit was €489 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €7,934 Mil.
Total Receivables was €1,809 Mil.
Revenue was €23,159 Mil.
Gross Profit was €10,542 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €3,840 Mil.
Total Assets was €64,668 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €56,956 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €2,290 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €5,018 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €29,311 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1588.44 / 20931.54) / (1808.77 / 23158.75)
=0.075887 / 0.078103
=0.9716

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(10542.245 / 23158.75) / (9581.88 / 20931.54)
=0.455216 / 0.457772
=0.9944

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3889.97 + 51821.574) / 59522.092) / (1 - (3840.055 + 56956.2) / 64667.825)
=0.064019 / 0.059869
=1.0693

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=20931.54 / 23158.75
=0.9038

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2290.09 / (2290.09 + 56956.2)) / (2105.11 / (2105.11 + 51821.574))
=0.038654 / 0.039037
=0.9902

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 20931.54) / (0 / 23158.75)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((26501.328 + 4281.956) / 59522.092) / ((29310.86 + 5017.57) / 64667.825)
=0.517174 / 0.530843
=0.9743

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6095.852 - 489.342 - 7933.66) / 59522.092
=-0.039097

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Union Pacific has a M-score of -2.74 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.65 mean?
Union Pacific (HAM:UNP) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.65 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Union Pacific and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Union Pacific ranks #425 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 44%.
Is Union Pacific's Beneish M-Score too high?
Union Pacific's current Beneish M-Score is -2.65. Based on the distribution chart, Union Pacific ranks #425 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Union Pacific has a GF Score™ of 91/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Union Pacific's Beneish M-Score compare to CSX and NSC?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Union Pacific ranks #425 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Union Pacific in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Union Pacific and its competitors. Union Pacific's current Beneish M-Score is -2.65. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Union Pacific stock overvalued right now?
Union Pacific (HAM:UNP) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.65. The stock's GF Value™ is €216.95, compared to a current price of €228.40 — trading 5.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.65. Union Pacific's overall GF Score™ is 91/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Union Pacific (HAM:UNP), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.65 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Union Pacific (HAM:UNP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Union Pacific stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €228.40 is trading 5.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of €216.95.

Key valuation signals for HAM:UNP:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.65
  • GF Value™: €216.95 vs. price of €228.40 (5.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 91/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HAM:UNP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Union Pacific Business Description

Address 1400 Douglas Street, Omaha, NE, USA, 68179
Omaha, Nebraska-based Union Pacific is the largest public railroad in North America. Operating on more than 30,000 miles of track in the western two-thirds of the US, Union Pacific generated $24.5 billion of revenue in 2025 by hauling coal, industrial products, intermodal containers, agricultural goods, chemicals, fertilizers, and automotive goods. Union Pacific owns about one-fourth of Mexican railroad Ferromex and historically derives roughly 10% of its revenue hauling freight to and from Mexico.
91GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HAM:UNP

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€228.40
Price
€216.95
GF Value