HIRAYAMA Holdings Co (TSE:7781) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 51.89% (As of Jul. 15, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:7781 HIRAYAMA Holdings Co Ltd TSE:7781
78 GF Score
Price 円793.00
GF Value 円418.98
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is HIRAYAMA Holdings Co Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

HIRAYAMA Holdings Co TSE:7781 +2.85% 78 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 51.89% as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:7781 with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of 円418.98 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-07-15), HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's Predictability Rank is 3.5-Stars. HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is 円1684.79 and current share price is 円793.00. Consequently,

HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is 51.89%.

TSE:7781 vs KFY, RHI, TNET: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Staffing & Employment Services subindustry, HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

HIRAYAMA Holdings Co Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


TSE:7781
78GF Score
HIRAYAMA Holdings Co Ltd TSE:7781
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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HIRAYAMA Holdings Co Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(1648.42-793.00)/1648.42
=51.89 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 51.89% mean?
HIRAYAMA Holdings Co (TSE:7781) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 51.89% as of Jul. 15, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on HIRAYAMA Holdings Co.
Is HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 51.89%. Overall, HIRAYAMA Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to KFY and RHI?
HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 51.89% can be compared against companies in the Business Services industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for a Business Services company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Business Services industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on HIRAYAMA Holdings Co. HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 51.89%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is HIRAYAMA Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, HIRAYAMA Holdings Co (TSE:7781) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円418.98, compared to a current price of 円793.00 — trading 89.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 51.89%. HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For HIRAYAMA Holdings Co (TSE:7781), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 51.89% as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is HIRAYAMA Holdings Co (TSE:7781) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, HIRAYAMA Holdings Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円793.00 is trading 89.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円418.98. GuruFocus considers HIRAYAMA Holdings Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:7781:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 51.89%
  • GF Value™: 円418.98 vs. price of 円793.00 (89.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:7781 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

HIRAYAMA Holdings Co Business Description

Address 1-8-40 Konan, 6th Floor, A-Place Shinagawa, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 108-0075
HIRAYAMA Holdings Co Ltd is engaged in the staffing business. The company's services include manufacturing consulting service, Factory outsourcing service, Temp staffing service, and Fee-charging job placement service. It also provides in-sourcing/dispatch projects and engineer dispatch/contract development projects.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:7781

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円793.00
Price
円418.98
GF Value