HIRAYAMA Holdings Co (TSE:7781) Beneish M-Score: -2.48 (As of Jul. 15, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:7781 HIRAYAMA Holdings Co Ltd TSE:7781
78 GF Score
Price 円793.00
GF Value 円418.98
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is HIRAYAMA Holdings Co Beneish M-Score?

HIRAYAMA Holdings Co TSE:7781 +2.85% 78 Beneish M-Score is -2.48 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:7781 with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of 円418.98 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,020 Business Services companies, HIRAYAMA Holdings Co ranks worse than 56.08% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.48 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:7781' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.64   Med: -2.44   Max: -1.88
Current: -2.48

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of HIRAYAMA Holdings Co was -1.88. The lowest was -2.64. And the median was -2.44.


HIRAYAMA Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

HIRAYAMA Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Chart

HIRAYAMA Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.62 -2.07 -2.40 -2.56 -2.48

HIRAYAMA Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.48 0.00 0.00 0.00

TSE:7781 vs KFY, RHI, TNET: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Staffing & Employment Services subindustry, HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


HIRAYAMA Holdings Co Beneish M-Score vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:7781
78GF Score
HIRAYAMA Holdings Co Ltd TSE:7781
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

HIRAYAMA Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of HIRAYAMA Holdings Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9823+0.528 * 0.9314+0.404 * 1.0691+0.892 * 1.0263+0.115 * 1.0672
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.010597-0.327 * 0.8833
=-2.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円3,929 Mil.
Revenue was 円36,220 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円6,574 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円10,580 Mil.
Total Assets was 円12,358 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円543 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円81 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円4,689 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円805 Mil.
Net Income was 円858 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円989 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円3,897 Mil.
Revenue was 円35,292 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円5,966 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円10,685 Mil.
Total Assets was 円12,294 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円460 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円74 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円5,001 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円1,187 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3928.662 / 36220.268) / (3896.926 / 35292.145)
=0.108466 / 0.110419
=0.9823

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5966.251 / 35292.145) / (6574.204 / 36220.268)
=0.169053 / 0.181506
=0.9314

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (10579.973 + 542.528) / 12358.275) / (1 - (10684.518 + 459.812) / 12294.242)
=0.099996 / 0.093533
=1.0691

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=36220.268 / 35292.145
=1.0263

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(74.188 / (74.188 + 459.812)) / (81.197 / (81.197 + 542.528))
=0.138929 / 0.130181
=1.0672

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 36220.268) / (0 / 35292.145)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((805 + 4689.263) / 12358.275) / ((1187 + 5000.773) / 12294.242)
=0.444582 / 0.503307
=0.8833

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(858.156 - 0 - 989.116) / 12358.275
=-0.010597

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

HIRAYAMA Holdings Co has a M-score of -2.48 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.48 mean?
HIRAYAMA Holdings Co (TSE:7781) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.48 as of Jul. 15, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on HIRAYAMA Holdings Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, HIRAYAMA Holdings Co ranks #572 out of 1020 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 56.1%.
Is HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.48. Based on the distribution chart, HIRAYAMA Holdings Co ranks #572 out of 1020 companies in the Business Services industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, HIRAYAMA Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score compare to KFY and RHI?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, HIRAYAMA Holdings Co ranks #572 out of 1020 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places HIRAYAMA Holdings Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Business Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Business Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on HIRAYAMA Holdings Co and its competitors. HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.48. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is HIRAYAMA Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, HIRAYAMA Holdings Co (TSE:7781) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円418.98, compared to a current price of 円793.00 — trading 89.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.48. HIRAYAMA Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For HIRAYAMA Holdings Co (TSE:7781), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.48 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is HIRAYAMA Holdings Co (TSE:7781) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, HIRAYAMA Holdings Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円793.00 is trading 89.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円418.98. GuruFocus considers HIRAYAMA Holdings Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:7781:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.48
  • GF Value™: 円418.98 vs. price of 円793.00 (89.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:7781 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


HIRAYAMA Holdings Co Business Description

Address 1-8-40 Konan, 6th Floor, A-Place Shinagawa, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 108-0075
HIRAYAMA Holdings Co Ltd is engaged in the staffing business. The company's services include manufacturing consulting service, Factory outsourcing service, Temp staffing service, and Fee-charging job placement service. It also provides in-sourcing/dispatch projects and engineer dispatch/contract development projects.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:7781

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円793.00
Price
円418.98
GF Value