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Amgen (NAS:AMGN) Beneish M-Score

: -2.72 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.72 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Amgen's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AMGN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.12   Med: -2.59   Max: -2.07
Current: -2.72

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Amgen was -2.07. The lowest was -3.12. And the median was -2.59.


Amgen Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Amgen's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Amgen Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.62 -2.18 -2.67 -2.36 -2.61

Amgen Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.57 -2.61 -2.61 -2.75 -2.72

Competitive Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Amgen's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Amgen Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Amgen's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Amgen's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Amgen Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Amgen for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1321+0.528 * 1.0297+0.404 * 0.7453+0.892 * 1.0191+0.115 * 0.9998
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0204+4.679 * -0.059425-0.327 * 1.0384
=-2.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $6,145 Mil.
Revenue was 6903 + 6986 + 6105 + 6839 = $26,833 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5097 + 5173 + 4385 + 5092 = $19,747 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $48,477 Mil.
Total Assets was $90,534 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $5,563 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $3,602 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $5,477 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $16,954 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $59,040 Mil.
Net Income was 1730 + 1379 + 2841 + 1616 = $7,566 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 685 + -318 + 2064 + -67 = $2,364 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2760 + 4109 + 1064 + 2649 = $10,582 Mil.
Total Receivables was $5,326 Mil.
Revenue was 6652 + 6594 + 6238 + 6846 = $26,330 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5064 + 5084 + 4677 + 5128 = $19,953 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $24,062 Mil.
Total Assets was $63,700 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $5,188 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $3,358 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $5,267 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $14,331 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $37,161 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6145 / 26833) / (5326 / 26330)
=0.229009 / 0.202279
=1.1321

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(19953 / 26330) / (19747 / 26833)
=0.757805 / 0.735922
=1.0297

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (48477 + 5563) / 90534) / (1 - (24062 + 5188) / 63700)
=0.403097 / 0.540816
=0.7453

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=26833 / 26330
=1.0191

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3358 / (3358 + 5188)) / (3602 / (3602 + 5563))
=0.392932 / 0.393017
=0.9998

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5477 / 26833) / (5267 / 26330)
=0.204114 / 0.200038
=1.0204

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((59040 + 16954) / 90534) / ((37161 + 14331) / 63700)
=0.839397 / 0.808352
=1.0384

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(7566 - 2364 - 10582) / 90534
=-0.059425

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Amgen has a M-score of -2.72 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Amgen (NAS:AMGN) Business Description

Address
One Amgen Center Drive, Thousand Oaks, CA, USA, 91320-1799
Amgen is a leader in biotechnology-based human therapeutics, with historical expertise in renal disease and cancer supportive-care products. Flagship drugs include red blood cell boosters Epogen and Aranesp, immune system boosters Neupogen and Neulasta, and Enbrel and Otezla for inflammatory diseases. Amgen introduced its first cancer therapeutic, Vectibix, in 2006 and markets bone-strengthening drug Prolia/Xgeva (approved 2010) and Evenity (2019). The acquisition of Onyx bolstered the firm's therapeutic oncology portfolio with Kyprolis. Recent launches include Repatha (cholesterol-lowering), Aimovig (migraine), Lumakras (lung cancer), and Tezspire (asthma). Amgen's biosimilar portfolio includes Mvasi (biosimilar Avastin), Kanjinti (biosimilar Herceptin), and Amjevita (biosimilar Humira).
Executives
Matthew C. Busch officer: VP, Finance & CAO ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE, THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320
Michael V Drake director ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE, THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320
Derek Miller officer: SVP, Human Resources ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE, THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320
Rachna Khosla officer: SVP, Business Development ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE, THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320
Omar Ishrak director 710 MEDTRONIC PKWY, MS LC300, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432
Amy E Miles director
Linda H. Louie officer: VP, Finance & CAO ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE, THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320
Nancy A. Grygiel officer: SVP & CCO ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE, THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320
Peter H. Griffith officer: EVP & CFO ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE, THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320
Murdo Gordon officer: EVP Global Commercial Ops C/O BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY, 345 PARK AVE, NEW YORK NY 10154
David M Reese officer: EVP, Research and Development ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE, THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320
Brian Druker director ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE, THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320-1799
Wanda M Austin director 6001 BOLLINGER CANYON ROAD, SAN RAMON CA 94583
Charles M Holley director
Lori A Johnston officer: SVP, HR C/O AMGEN INC., ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE, THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320