Trafco Group BSC (BAH:TRAFCO) Beneish M-Score: -2.51 (As of Jul. 19, 2026)

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BAH:TRAFCO Trafco Group BSC BAH:TRAFCO
62 GF Score
Price BHD0.26
GF Value BHD0.28
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Trafco Group BSC Beneish M-Score?

Trafco Group BSC BAH:TRAFCO 62 Beneish M-Score is -2.51 as of Jul. 19, 2026. GuruFocus rates BAH:TRAFCO with a GF Score™ of 62/100 and a GF Value™ of BHD0.28 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 295 Retail - Defensive companies, Trafco Group BSC ranks worse than 57.29% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.51 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Trafco Group BSC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BAH:TRAFCO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.76   Med: -2.69   Max: -2.17
Current: -2.51

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Trafco Group BSC was -2.17. The lowest was -2.76. And the median was -2.69.


Trafco Group BSC Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Trafco Group BSC's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Trafco Group BSC Beneish M-Score Chart

Trafco Group BSC Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.17 -2.69 -2.30 -2.51

Trafco Group BSC Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.30 -2.44 -2.51 -2.72 -2.51

BAH:TRAFCO vs SYY, USFD, PFGC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Food Distribution subindustry, Trafco Group BSC's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Trafco Group BSC Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Trafco Group BSC's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Trafco Group BSC's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BAH:TRAFCO
62GF Score
Trafco Group BSC BAH:TRAFCO
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Trafco Group BSC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Trafco Group BSC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1263+0.528 * 1.0579+0.404 * 1.0206+0.892 * 0.9695+0.115 * 0.9287
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9772+4.679 * -0.032911-0.327 * 0.9899
=-2.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was BHD11.45 Mil.
Revenue was 11.829 + 11.328 + 11.386 + 10.859 = BHD45.40 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2.205 + 2.303 + 2.175 + 1.856 = BHD8.54 Mil.
Total Current Assets was BHD26.11 Mil.
Total Assets was BHD56.49 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was BHD15.64 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was BHD1.51 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was BHD2.40 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was BHD14.19 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was BHD4.68 Mil.
Net Income was 0.069 + 0.259 + 0.309 + 0.582 = BHD1.22 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = BHD0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1.192 + 1.811 + 2.696 + -0.237 = BHD3.08 Mil.
Total Receivables was BHD10.48 Mil.
Revenue was 11.102 + 11.273 + 11.944 + 12.509 = BHD46.83 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2.072 + 2.342 + 2.506 + 2.397 = BHD9.32 Mil.
Total Current Assets was BHD25.69 Mil.
Total Assets was BHD55.63 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was BHD15.72 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was BHD1.40 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was BHD2.53 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was BHD13.39 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was BHD5.38 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(11.449 / 45.402) / (10.484 / 46.828)
=0.25217 / 0.223883
=1.1263

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(9.317 / 46.828) / (8.539 / 45.402)
=0.198962 / 0.188075
=1.0579

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (26.108 + 15.64) / 56.486) / (1 - (25.686 + 15.72) / 55.627)
=0.260914 / 0.255649
=1.0206

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=45.402 / 46.828
=0.9695

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1.399 / (1.399 + 15.72)) / (1.509 / (1.509 + 15.64))
=0.081722 / 0.087993
=0.9287

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2.397 / 45.402) / (2.53 / 46.828)
=0.052795 / 0.054028
=0.9772

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4.678 + 14.188) / 56.486) / ((5.379 + 13.39) / 55.627)
=0.333994 / 0.337408
=0.9899

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1.219 - 0 - 3.078) / 56.486
=-0.032911

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Trafco Group BSC has a M-score of -2.51 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.51 mean?
Trafco Group BSC (BAH:TRAFCO) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.51 as of Jul. 19, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Trafco Group BSC and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Trafco Group BSC ranks #169 out of 295 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 57.3%.
Is Trafco Group BSC's Beneish M-Score too high?
Trafco Group BSC's current Beneish M-Score is -2.51. Based on the distribution chart, Trafco Group BSC ranks #169 out of 295 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Trafco Group BSC has a GF Score™ of 62/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Trafco Group BSC's Beneish M-Score compare to SYY and USFD?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Trafco Group BSC ranks #169 out of 295 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Trafco Group BSC in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Defensive company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Defensive industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Trafco Group BSC and its competitors. Trafco Group BSC's current Beneish M-Score is -2.51. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Trafco Group BSC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Trafco Group BSC (BAH:TRAFCO) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is BHD0.28, compared to a current price of BHD0.26 — trading 8.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.51. Trafco Group BSC's overall GF Score™ is 62/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Trafco Group BSC (BAH:TRAFCO), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.51 as of Jul. 19, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Trafco Group BSC (BAH:TRAFCO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Trafco Group BSC stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of BHD0.26 is trading 8.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of BHD0.28. GuruFocus considers Trafco Group BSC to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for BAH:TRAFCO:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.51
  • GF Value™: BHD0.28 vs. price of BHD0.26 (8.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 62/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BAH:TRAFCO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Trafco Group BSC Business Description

Address Road 42, Block 343, Building 117, Mina Salman Industrial Area, Manama, BHR
Trafco Group BSC imports and distributes food products. The company has six operating segments; the Wholesale operations segment includes the import and distribution of foodstuff, the Investments segment includes investment in quoted and unquoted securities, the Dairy products and beverages segment includes the production, processing, and distribution of dairy products, juices, ice cream, bottling of water, and other items, Fruits and vegetables include import and distribution of fruits, vegetables, and other food items, Storage and logistics include providing storage and logistics services, and Livestock includes import and sale of live animals, fresh, chilled, and frozen meat and food service products.
62GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BAH:TRAFCO

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

BHD0.26
Price
BHD0.28
GF Value