Trafco Group BSC (BAH:TRAFCO) Altman Z2-Score: 3.50 (As of Jul. 19, 2026) — Near Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BAH:TRAFCO Trafco Group BSC BAH:TRAFCO
62 GF Score
Price BHD0.26
GF Value BHD0.28
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Trafco Group BSC Altman Z2-Score?

Trafco Group BSC BAH:TRAFCO 62 Altman Z2-Score is 3.50 as of Jul. 19, 2026, which is 7% below its 10-year median of 3.77. GuruFocus rates BAH:TRAFCO with a GF Score™ of 62/100 and a GF Value™ of BHD0.28 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 307 Retail - Defensive companies, Trafco Group BSC ranks better than 59.28% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Trafco Group BSC has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.50, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Trafco Group BSC's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BAH:TRAFCO' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.49   Med: 3.77   Max: 4.64
Current: 3.5

During the past 13 years, Trafco Group BSC's highest Altman Z2-Score was 4.64. The lowest was 3.49. And the median was 3.77.


Trafco Group BSC  (BAH:TRAFCO) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Trafco Group BSC Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Trafco Group BSC Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Trafco Group BSC's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Trafco Group BSC Altman Z2-Score Chart

Trafco Group BSC Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.76 3.60 3.77 3.65 3.50

Trafco Group BSC Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.65 3.30 3.71 3.62 3.50

BAH:TRAFCO vs SYY, USFD, PFGC: Altman Z2-Score Comparison

For the Food Distribution subindustry, Trafco Group BSC's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Trafco Group BSC Altman Z2-Score vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Trafco Group BSC's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Trafco Group BSC's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


BAH:TRAFCO
62GF Score
Trafco Group BSC BAH:TRAFCO
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Trafco Group BSC Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Trafco Group BSC's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.211+3.26*0.1009+6.72*0.0409+1.05*1.4439
=3.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025:
Total Assets was BHD56.49 Mil.
Total Current Assets was BHD26.11 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was BHD14.19 Mil.
Retained Earnings was BHD5.70 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 0.145 + 0.425 + 0.459 + 0.675 = BHD1.70 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.102 + -0.16 + -0.172 + -0.174 = BHD-0.61 Mil.
Total Liabilities was BHD20.54 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(26.108 - 14.188)/56.486
=0.211

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=5.697/56.486
=0.1009

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1.704 - -0.608)/56.486
=0.0409

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(29.655 - 0)/20.538
=1.4439

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Trafco Group BSC has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.50 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 3.50 mean?
Trafco Group BSC (BAH:TRAFCO) has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.50 as of Jul. 19, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Trafco Group BSC and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 3.77. Over the past decade, Trafco Group BSC's Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 3.49 to 4.64. According to the industry distribution chart, Trafco Group BSC ranks #125 out of 307 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 40.7%.
Is Trafco Group BSC's Altman Z2-Score too high?
Trafco Group BSC's current Altman Z2-Score of 3.50 is near median its 10-year median of 3.77. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 3.49 to a high of 4.64. The Retail - Defensive industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.65. Trafco Group BSC's value of 3.50 is 32.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Trafco Group BSC ranks #125 out of 307 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Trafco Group BSC has a GF Score™ of 62/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Trafco Group BSC's Altman Z2-Score compare to SYY and USFD?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Trafco Group BSC ranks #125 out of 307 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This puts Trafco Group BSC in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.65. Trafco Group BSC's value of 3.50 is 32.1% above this benchmark. Historically, Trafco Group BSC's own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 3.49 to 4.64 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.77 vs. the industry median of 2.65, Trafco Group BSC has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Retail - Defensive companies is 2.65, based on 307 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Trafco Group BSC's current Altman Z2-Score of 3.50 is 32.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Trafco Group BSC and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 2.65 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Trafco Group BSC's current Altman Z2-Score is 3.50, which is near median its own 10-year median of 3.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Trafco Group BSC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Trafco Group BSC (BAH:TRAFCO) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is BHD0.28, compared to a current price of BHD0.26 — trading 8.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 3.50, which is near median its 10-year median of 3.77 and 32.1% above the Retail - Defensive industry median of 2.65. Trafco Group BSC's overall GF Score™ is 62/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Trafco Group BSC (BAH:TRAFCO), the current Altman Z2-Score is 3.50 as of Jul. 19, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Trafco Group BSC (BAH:TRAFCO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Trafco Group BSC stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of BHD0.26 is trading 8.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of BHD0.28. GuruFocus considers Trafco Group BSC to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for BAH:TRAFCO:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 3.50 (near median its 10-year median of 3.77)
  • GF Value™: BHD0.28 vs. price of BHD0.26 (8.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 62/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 32.1% above the Retail - Defensive median (#125 of 307)

No single metric tells the full story. See the BAH:TRAFCO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Trafco Group BSC Business Description

Address Road 42, Block 343, Building 117, Mina Salman Industrial Area, Manama, BHR
Trafco Group BSC imports and distributes food products. The company has six operating segments; the Wholesale operations segment includes the import and distribution of foodstuff, the Investments segment includes investment in quoted and unquoted securities, the Dairy products and beverages segment includes the production, processing, and distribution of dairy products, juices, ice cream, bottling of water, and other items, Fruits and vegetables include import and distribution of fruits, vegetables, and other food items, Storage and logistics include providing storage and logistics services, and Livestock includes import and sale of live animals, fresh, chilled, and frozen meat and food service products.
62GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BAH:TRAFCO

Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

BHD0.26
Price
BHD0.28
GF Value