Carabao Group PCL (BKK:CBG) Beneish M-Score: -2.74 (As of Jul. 08, 2026)


BKK:CBG Carabao Group PCL BKK:CBG
84 GF Score
Price ฿48.50
GF Value ฿76.68
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Carabao Group PCL Beneish M-Score?

Carabao Group PCL BKK:CBG -1.52% 84 Beneish M-Score is -2.74 as of Jul. 08, 2026. GuruFocus rates BKK:CBG with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of ฿76.68 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 109 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic companies, Carabao Group PCL ranks better than 69.72% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.74 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Carabao Group PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:CBG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.16   Med: -2.58   Max: 0.28
Current: -2.74

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Carabao Group PCL was 0.28. The lowest was -3.16. And the median was -2.58.


Carabao Group PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Carabao Group PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Carabao Group PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

Carabao Group PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.17 -2.02 -2.96 -3.09 -2.64

Carabao Group PCL Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.88 -2.80 -2.64 -2.64 -2.74

BKK:CBG vs KO, PEP, MNST: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, Carabao Group PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carabao Group PCL Beneish M-Score vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Carabao Group PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carabao Group PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BKK:CBG
84GF Score
Carabao Group PCL BKK:CBG
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Carabao Group PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Carabao Group PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1908+0.528 * 1.0499+0.404 * 0.4129+0.892 * 1.0317+0.115 * 1.0838
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.044+4.679 * -0.056598-0.327 * 0.9708
=-2.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿1,759 Mil.
Revenue was 5320.502 + 5640.948 + 5495.682 + 5577.046 = ฿22,034 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1377.819 + 1472.753 + 1404.526 + 1504.103 = ฿5,759 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿6,571 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿20,340 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿13,371 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿793 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿2,488 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿3,939 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿1,384 Mil.
Net Income was 611.06 + 142.433 + 616.154 + 800.495 = ฿2,170 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 56.31 + -522.094 + 49.774 + 53.583 = ฿-362 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1027.07 + 870.191 + 498.725 + 1287.79 = ฿3,684 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿1,432 Mil.
Revenue was 5328.163 + 5977.623 + 5098.171 + 4953.92 = ฿21,358 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1462.167 + 1596.686 + 1431.205 + 1371.207 = ฿5,861 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿6,053 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿19,505 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿12,528 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿810 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿2,310 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿4,300 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿958 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1759.499 / 22034.178) / (1432.266 / 21357.877)
=0.079853 / 0.06706
=1.1908

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5861.265 / 21357.877) / (5759.201 / 22034.178)
=0.274431 / 0.261376
=1.0499

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6570.915 + 13371.154) / 20340.023) / (1 - (6053.229 + 12527.777) / 19505.366)
=0.019565 / 0.04739
=0.4129

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=22034.178 / 21357.877
=1.0317

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(809.681 / (809.681 + 12527.777)) / (793.364 / (793.364 + 13371.154))
=0.060707 / 0.056011
=1.0838

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2487.602 / 22034.178) / (2309.693 / 21357.877)
=0.112897 / 0.108142
=1.044

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1383.571 + 3939.468) / 20340.023) / ((958.498 + 4299.843) / 19505.366)
=0.261703 / 0.269584
=0.9708

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2170.142 - -362.427 - 3683.776) / 20340.023
=-0.056598

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Carabao Group PCL has a M-score of -2.74 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.74 mean?
Carabao Group PCL (BKK:CBG) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.74 as of Jul. 08, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Carabao Group PCL and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Carabao Group PCL ranks #33 out of 109 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 30.3%.
Is Carabao Group PCL's Beneish M-Score too high?
Carabao Group PCL's current Beneish M-Score is -2.74. Based on the distribution chart, Carabao Group PCL ranks #33 out of 109 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Carabao Group PCL has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Carabao Group PCL's Beneish M-Score compare to KO and PEP?
According to the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Carabao Group PCL ranks #33 out of 109 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Carabao Group PCL in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Beverages - Non-Alcoholic company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Carabao Group PCL and its competitors. Carabao Group PCL's current Beneish M-Score is -2.74. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Carabao Group PCL stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Carabao Group PCL (BKK:CBG) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ฿76.68, compared to a current price of ฿48.50 — trading 36.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.74. Carabao Group PCL's overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Carabao Group PCL (BKK:CBG), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.74 as of Jul. 08, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Carabao Group PCL (BKK:CBG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Carabao Group PCL stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ฿48.50 is trading 36.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of ฿76.68. GuruFocus considers Carabao Group PCL to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for BKK:CBG:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.74
  • GF Value™: ฿76.68 vs. price of ฿48.50 (36.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BKK:CBG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Carabao Group PCL Business Description

Other Exchanges CBG-F:Thailand
Address Silom Road, 393 Silom Building, 393, 7th - 10th Floor, Silom, Bangrak, Bangkok, THA, 10500
Carabao Group PCL manufactures and distributes energy drinks, water, and coffee under different brand names through its subsidiaries. It operates in three reportable segments: Manufacture and distribution of drinks under Group's trademark, Distribution of OEM products under Group's trademark, and Distribution of other products. A majority of the company's revenue is generated from the Manufacture and distribution of drinks under Group's trademark segment, which manufactures and sells carbonated and non-carbonated energy drinks, coffee, sports drinks, and vitamin-C drinks through Carabao and Woody C plus brands. Geographically, the company generates maximum revenue from the domestic market, and the rest from overseas markets like the United Kingdom, and other regions.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BKK:CBG

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

฿48.50
Price
฿76.68
GF Value