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Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL (BKK:KEX-F) Beneish M-Score : -4.39 (As of Jun. 22, 2024)


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What is Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.39 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:KEX-F' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.39   Med: -3.94   Max: 2.99
Current: -4.39

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL was 2.99. The lowest was -4.39. And the median was -3.94.


Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - -3.26 -0.03 -3.93 -4.18

Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.00 -4.35 -4.16 -4.18 -4.39

Competitive Comparison of Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL's Beneish M-Score

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1963+0.528 * 0.4673+0.404 * 1.1315+0.892 * 0.6934+0.115 * 1.07
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2661+4.679 * -0.266086-0.327 * 1.9286
=-4.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿902 Mil.
Revenue was 2558.953 + 2519.822 + 2896.604 + 2923.335 = ฿10,899 Mil.
Gross Profit was -784.843 + -707.31 + -675.106 + -891.431 = ฿-3,059 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿2,864 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿9,302 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿4,290 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿1,886 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿1,715 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿6,925 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿764 Mil.
Net Income was -1188.289 + -1155.555 + -889.864 + -1047.73 = ฿-4,281 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 19.202 + 25.493 + 4.047 + 24.31 = ฿73 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -612.062 + -417.359 + -198.125 + -651.933 = ฿-1,879 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿1,088 Mil.
Revenue was 3130.576 + 4085.389 + 4218.588 + 4283.048 = ฿15,718 Mil.
Gross Profit was -593.633 + -520.274 + -447.358 + -500.093 = ฿-2,061 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿3,345 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿10,386 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿4,922 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿2,389 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿1,954 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿3,528 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿924 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(902.421 / 10898.714) / (1087.892 / 15717.601)
=0.082801 / 0.069215
=1.1963

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-2061.358 / 15717.601) / (-3058.69 / 10898.714)
=-0.13115 / -0.280647
=0.4673

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2864.002 + 4289.774) / 9301.538) / (1 - (3344.762 + 4921.823) / 10386.049)
=0.230904 / 0.204068
=1.1315

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10898.714 / 15717.601
=0.6934

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2388.804 / (2388.804 + 4921.823)) / (1886.03 / (1886.03 + 4289.774))
=0.326758 / 0.30539
=1.07

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1715.406 / 10898.714) / (1953.934 / 15717.601)
=0.157395 / 0.124315
=1.2661

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((764.11 + 6925.489) / 9301.538) / ((924.428 + 3527.565) / 10386.049)
=0.826702 / 0.428651
=1.9286

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-4281.438 - 73.052 - -1879.479) / 9301.538
=-0.266086

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL has a M-score of -4.39 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL (BKK:KEX-F) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 89, Soi Wat Suanphloo, Charoen Krung Road, 906, 9th Floor, Chao Phraya Tower, Bang Rak, Bangkok, THA, 10500
Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL is a Thailand based company. The company operates in one segment which is the domestic parcel delivery service.

Kerry Express (Thailand) PCL (BKK:KEX-F) Headlines

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