Next Capital PCL (BKK:NCAP) Beneish M-Score: -2.30 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


BKK:NCAP Next Capital PCL BKK:NCAP
75 GF Score
Price ฿2.64
GF Value ฿2.92
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Next Capital PCL Beneish M-Score?

Next Capital PCL BKK:NCAP +0.76% 75 Beneish M-Score is -2.30 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates BKK:NCAP with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of ฿2.92 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 483 Credit Services companies, Next Capital PCL ranks better than 56.11% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.3 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Next Capital PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:NCAP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.35   Med: -1.73   Max: 0.02
Current: -2.3

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Next Capital PCL was 0.02. The lowest was -2.35. And the median was -1.73.


Next Capital PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Next Capital PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Next Capital PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

Next Capital PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -0.32 -0.93 -1.46 -2.33 -2.35

Next Capital PCL Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.30 -2.32 -2.34 -2.35 -2.30

BKK:NCAP vs V, MA, AXP: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Credit Services subindustry, Next Capital PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Next Capital PCL Beneish M-Score vs Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, Next Capital PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Next Capital PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BKK:NCAP
75GF Score
Next Capital PCL BKK:NCAP
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Next Capital PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Next Capital PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.006+0.528 * 0.9799+0.404 * 0.9769+0.892 * 1.079+0.115 * 1.0591
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9529+4.679 * 0.020266-0.327 * 0.9446
=-2.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿4,863 Mil.
Revenue was 516.552 + 497.661 + 489.195 + 483.703 = ฿1,987 Mil.
Gross Profit was 456.508 + 38.564 + 424.643 + 418.587 = ฿1,338 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿4,979 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿10,888 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿71 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿30 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿244 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿3,472 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿1,962 Mil.
Net Income was 179.192 + 131.725 + 142.677 + 146.601 = ฿600 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 59.643 + 39.562 + 49.391 + 53.655 = ฿202 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -90.83 + 136.564 + 182.728 + -51.162 = ฿177 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿4,480 Mil.
Revenue was 474.51 + 463.512 + 451.925 + 451.614 = ฿1,842 Mil.
Gross Profit was 410.179 + 35.876 + 383.832 + 385.457 = ฿1,215 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿4,599 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿10,336 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿64 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿29 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿237 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿3,127 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿2,334 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4863.41 / 1987.111) / (4480.111 / 1841.561)
=2.447478 / 2.432779
=1.006

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1215.344 / 1841.561) / (1338.302 / 1987.111)
=0.659953 / 0.673491
=0.9799

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4978.698 + 71.214) / 10887.613) / (1 - (4599.194 + 63.905) / 10335.919)
=0.536178 / 0.548845
=0.9769

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1987.111 / 1841.561
=1.079

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(29.474 / (29.474 + 63.905)) / (30.234 / (30.234 + 71.214))
=0.315638 / 0.298025
=1.0591

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(243.756 / 1987.111) / (237.067 / 1841.561)
=0.122669 / 0.128732
=0.9529

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1961.992 + 3472.261) / 10887.613) / ((2333.976 + 3127.385) / 10335.919)
=0.499123 / 0.528387
=0.9446

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(600.195 - 202.251 - 177.3) / 10887.613
=0.020266

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Next Capital PCL has a M-score of -2.30 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.30 mean?
Next Capital PCL (BKK:NCAP) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.30 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Next Capital PCL and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Next Capital PCL ranks #212 out of 483 companies in the Credit Services industry, placing it in the top 43.9%.
Is Next Capital PCL's Beneish M-Score too high?
Next Capital PCL's current Beneish M-Score is -2.30. Based on the distribution chart, Next Capital PCL ranks #212 out of 483 companies in the Credit Services industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Next Capital PCL has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Next Capital PCL's Beneish M-Score compare to V and MA?
According to the Credit Services industry distribution chart, Next Capital PCL ranks #212 out of 483 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Next Capital PCL in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Credit Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Credit Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Next Capital PCL and its competitors. Next Capital PCL's current Beneish M-Score is -2.30. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Next Capital PCL stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Next Capital PCL (BKK:NCAP) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ฿2.92, compared to a current price of ฿2.64 — trading 9.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.30. Next Capital PCL's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Next Capital PCL (BKK:NCAP), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.30 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Next Capital PCL (BKK:NCAP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Next Capital PCL stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ฿2.64 is trading 9.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of ฿2.92. GuruFocus considers Next Capital PCL to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for BKK:NCAP:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.30
  • GF Value™: ฿2.92 vs. price of ฿2.64 (9.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BKK:NCAP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Next Capital PCL Business Description

Address Surawong Road, No. 163 Thai Samut Building, 15th Floor, Suriyawong, Bangrak, Bangkok, THA, 10500
Next Capital PCL is principally engaged in the financial services specifically motorcycle hire-purchase and loans secured against vehicle registrations. It operates in two segments: Motorcycle hire-purchase and Loans secured against vehicle registrations.
75GF Score

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Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

฿2.64
Price
฿2.92
GF Value