Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL (BKK:TMD) Beneish M-Score: -2.52 (As of Jul. 13, 2026)


BKK:TMD Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL BKK:TMD
79 GF Score
Price ฿26.50
GF Value ฿22.92
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL Beneish M-Score?

Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL BKK:TMD +0.95% 79 Beneish M-Score is -2.52 as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus rates BKK:TMD with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of ฿22.92 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 374 Packaging & Containers companies, Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL ranks worse than 53.74% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.52 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:TMD' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.04   Med: -2.54   Max: -1.77
Current: -2.52

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL was -1.77. The lowest was -3.04. And the median was -2.54.


Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.77 -2.82 -2.72 -2.58 -2.48

Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.63 -2.55 -2.56 -2.48 -2.52

BKK:TMD vs SW, PKG, IP: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL Beneish M-Score vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BKK:TMD
79GF Score
Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL BKK:TMD
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1196+0.528 * 0.8826+0.404 * 1.2037+0.892 * 0.9386+0.115 * 1.25
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0201+4.679 * -0.010436-0.327 * 1.2785
=-2.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿370 Mil.
Revenue was 437.273 + 437.761 + 427.526 + 445.552 = ฿1,748 Mil.
Gross Profit was 127.812 + 125.704 + 123.911 + 139.177 = ฿517 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿2,046 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿4,059 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿665 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿56 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿140 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿217 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿0 Mil.
Net Income was 91.406 + 87.811 + 88.635 + 96.086 = ฿364 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 21.429 + -26.755 + 20.598 + 28.252 = ฿44 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 80.013 + 107.893 + 110.206 + 64.66 = ฿363 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿353 Mil.
Revenue was 479.91 + 421.141 + 495.495 + 466.003 = ฿1,863 Mil.
Gross Profit was 140.79 + 99.778 + 125.371 + 119.877 = ฿486 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿2,135 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿3,855 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿656 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿70 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿146 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿161 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(370.463 / 1748.112) / (352.546 / 1862.549)
=0.211922 / 0.189281
=1.1196

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(485.816 / 1862.549) / (516.604 / 1748.112)
=0.260834 / 0.295521
=0.8826

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2045.702 + 664.739) / 4058.818) / (1 - (2134.965 + 656.342) / 3855.337)
=0.332209 / 0.275989
=1.2037

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1748.112 / 1862.549
=0.9386

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(70.428 / (70.428 + 656.342)) / (55.862 / (55.862 + 664.739))
=0.096905 / 0.077521
=1.25

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(139.846 / 1748.112) / (146.067 / 1862.549)
=0.079998 / 0.078423
=1.0201

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 216.58) / 4058.818) / ((0 + 160.905) / 3855.337)
=0.05336 / 0.041736
=1.2785

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(363.938 - 43.524 - 362.772) / 4058.818
=-0.010436

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL has a M-score of -2.52 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.52 mean?
Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL (BKK:TMD) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.52 as of Jul. 13, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL ranks #201 out of 374 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 53.7%.
Is Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL's Beneish M-Score too high?
Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL's current Beneish M-Score is -2.52. Based on the distribution chart, Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL ranks #201 out of 374 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL's Beneish M-Score compare to SW and PKG?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL ranks #201 out of 374 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Packaging & Containers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Packaging & Containers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL and its competitors. Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL's current Beneish M-Score is -2.52. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL (BKK:TMD) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ฿22.92, compared to a current price of ฿26.50 — trading 15.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.52. Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL (BKK:TMD), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.52 as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL (BKK:TMD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ฿26.50 is trading 15.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of ฿22.92. GuruFocus considers Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BKK:TMD:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.52
  • GF Value™: ฿22.92 vs. price of ฿26.50 (15.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BKK:TMD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL Business Description

Address 193/142 Rachadapisek Road, 35th Floor, Lake Rajada Office Complex, Klongtoey, Bangkok, THA, 10110
Thai Metal Drum Manufacturing PCL is a Thailand-based metal drum manufacturing company. The firm is mainly engaged in the manufacturing and distribution of steel drums, plastic products, and the provision of office buildings for rent. Its products include Steel drums, tight-head drums, and open-head drums. The business operating segment includes the Production and Sales of Metal drums, the Production and Sales of Plastic Products, Rental and service income, and Others. The majority of its revenue is generated from the Production and Sales of Metal drums and geographically from Thailand.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BKK:TMD

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

฿26.50
Price
฿22.92
GF Value