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Purcari Wineries PCL (BSE:WINE) Beneish M-Score : -2.62 (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


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What is Purcari Wineries PCL Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.62 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Purcari Wineries PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSE:WINE' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.11   Med: -1.95   Max: -1.06
Current: -2.62

During the past 7 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Purcari Wineries PCL was -1.06. The lowest was -3.11. And the median was -1.95.


Purcari Wineries PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Purcari Wineries PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Purcari Wineries PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

Purcari Wineries PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -1.98 -2.22 -2.32 -1.91 -2.32

Purcari Wineries PCL Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.82 -2.32 -2.68 -2.56 -2.62

Competitive Comparison of Purcari Wineries PCL's Beneish M-Score

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Purcari Wineries PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Purcari Wineries PCL's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Purcari Wineries PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Purcari Wineries PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Purcari Wineries PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Purcari Wineries PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9938+0.528 * 0.8957+0.404 * 0.2958+0.892 * 1.0801+0.115 * 0.9393
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9714+4.679 * 0.032584-0.327 * 1.036
=-2.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was lei86.3 Mil.
Revenue was 96.132 + 88.831 + 81.591 + 117.134 = lei383.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was 44.573 + 43.725 + 35.661 + 50.579 = lei174.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was lei417.9 Mil.
Total Assets was lei721.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was lei233.4 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was lei29.5 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was lei46.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was lei180.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was lei123.6 Mil.
Net Income was 13.774 + 16.377 + 10.688 + 19.33 = lei60.2 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = lei0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3.243 + -6.685 + 20.746 + 19.354 = lei36.7 Mil.
Total Receivables was lei80.4 Mil.
Revenue was 91.096 + 88.08 + 73.336 + 102.715 = lei355.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was 36.888 + 34.225 + 32.732 + 40.896 = lei144.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was lei217.3 Mil.
Total Assets was lei649.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was lei218.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was lei25.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was lei43.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was lei199.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was lei64.6 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(86.32 / 383.688) / (80.418 / 355.227)
=0.224974 / 0.226385
=0.9938

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(144.741 / 355.227) / (174.538 / 383.688)
=0.407461 / 0.454896
=0.8957

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (417.917 + 233.376) / 721.551) / (1 - (217.314 + 218.042) / 648.991)
=0.097371 / 0.32918
=0.2958

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=383.688 / 355.227
=1.0801

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(25.694 / (25.694 + 218.042)) / (29.502 / (29.502 + 233.376))
=0.105417 / 0.112227
=0.9393

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(46.088 / 383.688) / (43.924 / 355.227)
=0.120118 / 0.123651
=0.9714

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((123.645 + 180.896) / 721.551) / ((64.559 + 199.826) / 648.991)
=0.422064 / 0.407379
=1.036

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(60.169 - 0 - 36.658) / 721.551
=0.032584

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Purcari Wineries PCL has a M-score of -2.62 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Purcari Wineries PCL Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Purcari Wineries PCL Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1 Lampousas Street, Nicosia, CYP, 1095
Purcari Wineries PCL is engaged in the business of production of wine and brandy products in Romania, Bulgaria, and Moldova. The company exports its products to various countries across Europe, Asia, and America. The Group has six core brands across wide range of price segments in the still and sparkling wine categories, as well as a brand in the popular premium brandy segment which are Purcari Wine, Crama Ceptura Wine, Domeniile Cuza, Bostavan Wine, Bardar Divin, and Angel's Estate. Geographically, the company generates a majority of its revenue from Romania followed by the Republic of Moldova, Bulgaria, Poland, and other regions.

Purcari Wineries PCL Headlines

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