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The Kraft Heinz Co (BSP:KHCB34) Beneish M-Score

: -2.56 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.56 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Kraft Heinz Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:KHCB34' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.74   Med: -2.53   Max: -1.5
Current: -2.56

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The Kraft Heinz Co was -1.50. The lowest was -2.74. And the median was -2.53.


The Kraft Heinz Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Kraft Heinz Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Kraft Heinz Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.59 -2.57 -2.59 -2.31 -2.56

The Kraft Heinz Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.31 -2.30 -2.43 -2.51 -2.56

Competitive Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, The Kraft Heinz Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Kraft Heinz Co Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Kraft Heinz Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Kraft Heinz Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



The Kraft Heinz Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The Kraft Heinz Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9553+0.528 * 0.9153+0.404 * 0.9942+0.892 * 0.9742+0.115 * 0.9905
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0842+4.679 * -0.004842-0.327 * 0.9725
=-2.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$10,348 Mil.
Revenue was 33612.628 + 32447.259 + 32621.718 + 33798.605 = R$132,480 Mil.
Gross Profit was 11352.837 + 11037.995 + 10974.216 + 11005.772 = R$44,371 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$38,851 Mil.
Total Assets was R$442,643 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$34,896 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$4,777 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$18,675 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$39,380 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$95,027 Mil.
Net Income was 3709.149 + 1293.939 + 4853.7 + 4354.39 = R$14,211 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 9.8 + -3264.481 + -48.537 + 36.46 = R$-3,267 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 6644.129 + 5116.493 + 5329.363 + 2531.38 = R$19,621 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$11,120 Mil.
Revenue was 38716.297 + 34109.618 + 33082.626 + 30082.338 = R$135,991 Mil.
Gross Profit was 12400.126 + 9663.955 + 10014.637 + 9609.428 = R$41,688 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$41,423 Mil.
Total Assets was R$474,777 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$35,354 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$4,788 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$17,681 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$47,355 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$100,885 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(10348.378 / 132480.21) / (11120.248 / 135990.879)
=0.078113 / 0.081772
=0.9553

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(41688.146 / 135990.879) / (44370.82 / 132480.21)
=0.306551 / 0.334924
=0.9153

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (38850.514 + 34896.376) / 442643.032) / (1 - (41422.924 + 35353.996) / 474776.89)
=0.833394 / 0.838288
=0.9942

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=132480.21 / 135990.879
=0.9742

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(4787.708 / (4787.708 + 35353.996)) / (4777.345 / (4777.345 + 34896.376))
=0.11927 / 0.120416
=0.9905

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(18675.452 / 132480.21) / (17681.262 / 135990.879)
=0.140968 / 0.130018
=1.0842

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((95026.721 + 39379.693) / 442643.032) / ((100884.778 + 47355.471) / 474776.89)
=0.303645 / 0.312231
=0.9725

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(14211.178 - -3266.758 - 19621.365) / 442643.032
=-0.004842

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The Kraft Heinz Co has a M-score of -2.62 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


The Kraft Heinz Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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The Kraft Heinz Co (BSP:KHCB34) Business Description

Address
One PPG Place, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15222
In July 2015, Kraft merged with Heinz to create the third-largest food and beverage manufacturer in North America behind PepsiCo and Nestle and the fifth-largest player in the world. Beyond its namesake brands, the combined firm's portfolio includes Oscar Mayer, Velveeta, and Philadelphia. While the retail channel drives around 85% of its total sales, the firm operates a growing presence in the foodservice arena. Outside North America, Kraft Heinz's global reach counts a distribution network in Europe and emerging markets that drives 20%-25% of its consolidated sales base, as its products are sold in more than 190 countries and territories.

The Kraft Heinz Co (BSP:KHCB34) Headlines

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