Havanna Holding (BUE:HAVA) Beneish M-Score: -2.21 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


BUE:HAVA Havanna Holding SA BUE:HAVA
83 GF Score
Price ARS5,490.00
GF Value ARS6,813.73
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Havanna Holding Beneish M-Score?

Havanna Holding BUE:HAVA +0.18% 83 Beneish M-Score is -2.21 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates BUE:HAVA with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of ARS6,813.73 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 357 Restaurants companies, Havanna Holding ranks worse than 84.03% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.21 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Havanna Holding's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BUE:HAVA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.54   Med: -2.59   Max: -0.02
Current: -2.21

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Havanna Holding was -0.02. The lowest was -5.54. And the median was -2.59.


Havanna Holding Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Havanna Holding's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Havanna Holding Beneish M-Score Chart

Havanna Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.01 -1.09 -1.51 -2.59 -2.40

Havanna Holding Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.93 -2.60 -2.19 -2.40 -2.21

BUE:HAVA vs MCD, SBUX, CMG: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Havanna Holding's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Havanna Holding Beneish M-Score vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Havanna Holding's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Havanna Holding's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BUE:HAVA
83GF Score
Havanna Holding SA BUE:HAVA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Havanna Holding Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Havanna Holding for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2976+0.528 * 1.0409+0.404 * 0.9905+0.892 * 1.0439+0.115 * 1.1558
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9818+4.679 * -0.022397-0.327 * 0.9389
=-2.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ARS18,010 Mil.
Revenue was 51430.337 + 50423.643 + 35858.227 + 26763.846 = ARS164,476 Mil.
Gross Profit was 27301.354 + 25282.275 + 17294.705 + 12897.406 = ARS82,776 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ARS57,057 Mil.
Total Assets was ARS154,791 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ARS57,227 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ARS7,987 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ARS32,259 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ARS29,201 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ARS35,282 Mil.
Net Income was 7664.304 + 2697.125 + 1764.82 + 599.841 = ARS12,726 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ARS0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 16887.821 + 5078.575 + -3387.054 + -2386.34 = ARS16,193 Mil.
Total Receivables was ARS13,296 Mil.
Revenue was 51047.266 + 49923.666 + 30165.076 + 26428.461 = ARS157,564 Mil.
Gross Profit was 27958.044 + 25805.542 + 14756.476 + 14022.629 = ARS82,543 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ARS40,789 Mil.
Total Assets was ARS111,859 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ARS41,517 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ARS6,846 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ARS31,476 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ARS42,509 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ARS7,122 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(18010.494 / 164476.053) / (13296.039 / 157564.469)
=0.109502 / 0.084385
=1.2976

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(82542.691 / 157564.469) / (82775.74 / 164476.053)
=0.523866 / 0.503269
=1.0409

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (57056.774 + 57226.559) / 154790.598) / (1 - (40788.854 + 41516.942) / 111859.132)
=0.261691 / 0.264201
=0.9905

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=164476.053 / 157564.469
=1.0439

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(6845.875 / (6845.875 + 41516.942)) / (7986.927 / (7986.927 + 57226.559))
=0.141552 / 0.122474
=1.1558

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(32259.323 / 164476.053) / (31475.692 / 157564.469)
=0.196134 / 0.199764
=0.9818

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((35282.432 + 29201.334) / 154790.598) / ((7122.126 + 42509.164) / 111859.132)
=0.416587 / 0.443695
=0.9389

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(12726.09 - 0 - 16193.002) / 154790.598
=-0.022397

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Havanna Holding has a M-score of -2.21 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.21 mean?
Havanna Holding (BUE:HAVA) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.21 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Havanna Holding and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Havanna Holding ranks #300 out of 357 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 84%.
Is Havanna Holding's Beneish M-Score too high?
Havanna Holding's current Beneish M-Score is -2.21. Based on the distribution chart, Havanna Holding ranks #300 out of 357 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Havanna Holding has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Havanna Holding's Beneish M-Score compare to MCD and SBUX?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Havanna Holding ranks #300 out of 357 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Havanna Holding in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Restaurants company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Havanna Holding and its competitors. Havanna Holding's current Beneish M-Score is -2.21. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Havanna Holding stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Havanna Holding (BUE:HAVA) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ARS6,813.73, compared to a current price of ARS5,490.00 — trading 19.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.21. Havanna Holding's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Havanna Holding (BUE:HAVA), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.21 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Havanna Holding (BUE:HAVA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Havanna Holding stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ARS5,490.00 is trading 19.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of ARS6,813.73. GuruFocus considers Havanna Holding to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for BUE:HAVA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.21
  • GF Value™: ARS6,813.73 vs. price of ARS5,490.00 (19.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BUE:HAVA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Havanna Holding Business Description

Address Costa Rica, Buenos Aires, ARG, 4161
Havanna Holding SA is an investment company. Through its subsidiaries, it operates coffee stores franchises in Argentina, Chile. Brazil, Venezuela, Bolivia, Paraguay, Uruguay, Peru, Mexico and Spain. Its products are cookies, chocolates, lattes, frappes.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BUE:HAVA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

ARS5,490.00
Price
ARS6,813.73
GF Value