CMCL (Caledonia Mining) Beneish M-Score: 13.50 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


CMCL Caledonia Mining Corp PLC CMCL
91 GF Score
Price $19.49
GF Value $20.86
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Caledonia Mining Beneish M-Score?

Caledonia Mining CMCL -0.51% 91 Beneish M-Score is 13.50 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates CMCL with a GF Score™ of 91/100 and a GF Value™ of $20.86 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 685 Metals & Mining companies, Caledonia Mining ranks worse than 97.08% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 13.5 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Caledonia Mining's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CMCL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.58   Med: -2.44   Max: 484.07
Current: 13.5

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Caledonia Mining was 484.07. The lowest was -3.58. And the median was -2.44.


Caledonia Mining Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Caledonia Mining's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Caledonia Mining Beneish M-Score Chart

Caledonia Mining Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.89 -2.44 -2.49 -2.42 6.63

Caledonia Mining Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.77 -2.44 -3.10 6.63 13.50

CMCL vs VGZ, IDR, CTGO: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Gold subindustry, Caledonia Mining's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Caledonia Mining Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Caledonia Mining's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Caledonia Mining's Beneish M-Score falls into.


CMCL
91GF Score
Caledonia Mining Corp PLC CMCL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Caledonia Mining Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Caledonia Mining for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.3761+0.528 * 0.8769+0.404 * 42.195+0.892 * 1.385+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7711+4.679 * -0.041323-0.327 * 1.642
=13.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $9.1 Mil.
Revenue was 66.433 + 74.736 + 71.44 + 65.309 = $277.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was 32.101 + 39.545 + 36.848 + 33.806 = $142.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $226.7 Mil.
Total Assets was $553.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $311.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $22.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $48.6 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $104.3 Mil.
Net Income was 15.853 + 10.698 + 15.12 + 20.487 = $62.2 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 3.051 + -4.611 + -1.754 + 6.411 = $3.1 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 18.874 + 21.271 + 13.69 + 28.084 = $81.9 Mil.
Total Receivables was $17.5 Mil.
Revenue was 56.178 + 47.515 + 46.868 + 50.107 = $200.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was 26.926 + 20.929 + 19.313 + 22.933 = $90.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $72.8 Mil.
Total Assets was $363.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $290.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $4.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $20.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $49.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $11.9 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(9.107 / 277.918) / (17.484 / 200.668)
=0.032769 / 0.087129
=0.3761

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(90.101 / 200.668) / (142.3 / 277.918)
=0.449005 / 0.512022
=0.8769

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (226.651 + 311.545) / 553.157) / (1 - (72.825 + 290.681) / 363.739)
=0.027047 / 0.000641
=42.195

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=277.918 / 200.668
=1.385

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(4.239 / (4.239 + 290.681)) / (0 / (0 + 311.545))
=0.014373 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(22.17 / 277.918) / (20.759 / 200.668)
=0.079772 / 0.103449
=0.7711

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((104.304 + 48.614) / 553.157) / ((11.873 + 49.365) / 363.739)
=0.276446 / 0.168357
=1.642

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(62.158 - 3.097 - 81.919) / 553.157
=-0.041323

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Caledonia Mining has a M-score of 13.50 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of 13.50 mean?
Caledonia Mining (CMCL) has a Beneish M-Score of 13.50 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Caledonia Mining and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Caledonia Mining ranks #665 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 97.1%.
Is Caledonia Mining's Beneish M-Score too high?
Caledonia Mining's current Beneish M-Score is 13.50. Based on the distribution chart, Caledonia Mining ranks #665 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Caledonia Mining has a GF Score™ of 91/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Caledonia Mining's Beneish M-Score compare to VGZ and IDR?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Caledonia Mining ranks #665 out of 685 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Caledonia Mining in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Caledonia Mining and its competitors. Caledonia Mining's current Beneish M-Score is 13.50. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Caledonia Mining stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Caledonia Mining (CMCL) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $20.86, compared to a current price of $19.49 — trading 6.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is 13.50. Caledonia Mining's overall GF Score™ is 91/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Caledonia Mining (CMCL), the current Beneish M-Score is 13.50 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Caledonia Mining (CMCL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Caledonia Mining stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $19.49 is trading 6.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of $20.86. GuruFocus considers Caledonia Mining to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for CMCL:

  • Beneish M-Score: 13.50
  • GF Value™: $20.86 vs. price of $19.49 (6.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 91/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CMCL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Caledonia Mining Business Description

Other Exchanges CMCL:UK9CD1:Germany
Address 2 Mulcaster Street, 2nd Floor, Saint Helier, JEY, JE2 3NJ
Caledonia Mining Corp PLC is a gold exploration, development, and mining company. The company's segment includes Blanket, South Africa, Bilboes Oxide mine, and E&E projects. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Blanket project. The Blanket Mine is located in the south-west of Zimbabwe and operates at a depth of approximately 750 meters below the surface. Its project includes Maligreen and Motapa.
91GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CMCL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$19.49
Price
$20.86
GF Value