CURO Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of CURO Group Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 6.2029 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 0.9326 | + | 0.892 * 0.695 | + | 0.115 * 0.6025 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 1.2598 | + | 4.679 * -0.235285 | - | 0.327 * 1.3001 |
| = | 0.72 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Sep23) TTM: | Last Year (Sep22) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $58.1 Mil.
Revenue was 99.889 + 127.676 + 137.438 + 183.86 = $548.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was 99.889 + 127.676 + 137.438 + 183.86 = $548.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $140.6 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,777.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $75.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $35.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $275.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $984.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,178.8 Mil.
Net Income was -104.442 + -59.327 + -59.471 + -186.393 = $-409.6 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -42.224 + 65.948 + -4.143 + -11.124 = $8.5 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was $13.5 Mil.
Revenue was 139.966 + 241.918 + 231.581 + 176.265 = $789.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was 139.966 + 241.918 + 231.581 + 176.265 = $789.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $59.2 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,777.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $102.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $24.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $314.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,574.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,025.6 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (58.064 / 548.863) | / | (13.469 / 789.73) |
| = | 0.10579 | / | 0.017055 |
| | = | 6.2029 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (789.73 / 789.73) | / | (548.863 / 548.863) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (140.614 + 75.316) / 1776.952) | / | (1 - (59.152 + 102.085) / 2777.353) |
| = | 0.878483 | / | 0.941946 |
| | = | 0.9326 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 548.863 | / | 789.73 |
| | = | 0.695 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (24.34 / (24.34 + 102.085)) | / | (35.371 / (35.371 + 75.316)) |
| = | 0.192525 | / | 0.319559 |
| | = | 0.6025 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (275.74 / 548.863) | / | (314.918 / 789.73) |
| = | 0.502384 | / | 0.398767 |
| | = | 1.2598 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((1178.793 + 984.202) / 1776.952) | / | ((1025.584 + 1574.873) / 2777.353) |
| = | 1.21725 | / | 0.936308 |
| | = | 1.3001 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (-409.633 - 0 | - | 8.457) | / | 1776.952 |
| | = | -0.235285 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
CURO Group Holdings has a M-score of 0.72 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
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