EC (Ecopetrol) Beneish M-Score: -2.83 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


EC Ecopetrol SA EC
65 GF Score
Price $14.59
GF Value $10.29
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Ecopetrol Beneish M-Score?

Ecopetrol EC -5.93% 65 Beneish M-Score is -2.83 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates EC with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of $10.29 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 822 Oil & Gas companies, Ecopetrol ranks better than 61.56% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.83 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ecopetrol's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

EC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.54   Med: -2.66   Max: -0.74
Current: -2.83

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ecopetrol was -0.74. The lowest was -3.54. And the median was -2.66.


Ecopetrol Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ecopetrol's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ecopetrol Beneish M-Score Chart

Ecopetrol Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.01 -1.60 -1.99 -3.11 -2.86

Ecopetrol Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.15 -3.32 0.00 -2.86 -2.83

EC vs XOM, CVX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Ecopetrol's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ecopetrol Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Ecopetrol's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ecopetrol's Beneish M-Score falls into.


EC
65GF Score
Ecopetrol SA EC
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ecopetrol Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ecopetrol for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1554+0.528 * 1.0424+0.404 * 0.9503+0.892 * 0.9459+0.115 * 1.0537
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.045+4.679 * -0.057726-0.327 * 0.9522
=-2.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $7,858 Mil.
Revenue was 7788.607 + 7704.667 + 7614.187 + 7352.11 = $30,460 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3025.381 + 2271.913 + 2544.016 + 2108.32 = $9,950 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $14,288 Mil.
Total Assets was $75,451 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $41,574 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $3,129 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,658 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $9,227 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $26,499 Mil.
Net Income was 785.527 + 798.298 + 653.993 + 448.774 = $2,687 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 67.206 + -140.624 + 43.378 + 99.617 = $70 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + 2217.642 + 2265.374 + 2489.444 = $6,972 Mil.
Total Receivables was $7,190 Mil.
Revenue was 7602.107 + 7847.303 + 8286.64 + 8465.53 = $32,202 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2583.722 + 2390.683 + 2864.538 + 3125.762 = $10,965 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $13,681 Mil.
Total Assets was $67,264 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $35,206 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,803 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,677 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $8,939 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $24,511 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(7858.392 / 30459.571) / (7190.317 / 32201.58)
=0.257994 / 0.223291
=1.1554

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(10964.705 / 32201.58) / (9949.63 / 30459.571)
=0.340502 / 0.32665
=1.0424

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (14288.35 + 41573.764) / 75450.614) / (1 - (13680.795 + 35206.412) / 67264.114)
=0.25962 / 0.273205
=0.9503

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=30459.571 / 32201.58
=0.9459

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2803.35 / (2803.35 + 35206.412)) / (3128.781 / (3128.781 + 41573.764))
=0.073753 / 0.069991
=1.0537

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1657.515 / 30459.571) / (1676.832 / 32201.58)
=0.054417 / 0.052073
=1.045

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((26499.415 + 9227.207) / 75450.614) / ((24510.587 + 8938.898) / 67264.114)
=0.47351 / 0.497286
=0.9522

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2686.592 - 69.577 - 6972.46) / 75450.614
=-0.057726

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ecopetrol has a M-score of -2.64 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.83 mean?
Ecopetrol (EC) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.83 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Ecopetrol and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Ecopetrol ranks #316 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 38.4%.
Is Ecopetrol's Beneish M-Score too high?
Ecopetrol's current Beneish M-Score is -2.83. Based on the distribution chart, Ecopetrol ranks #316 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Ecopetrol has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ecopetrol's Beneish M-Score compare to XOM and CVX?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Ecopetrol ranks #316 out of 822 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Ecopetrol in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Ecopetrol and its competitors. Ecopetrol's current Beneish M-Score is -2.83. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ecopetrol stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ecopetrol (EC) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $10.29, compared to a current price of $14.59 — trading 41.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.83. Ecopetrol's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ecopetrol (EC), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.83 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ecopetrol (EC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ecopetrol stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $14.59 is trading 41.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $10.29. GuruFocus considers Ecopetrol to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for EC:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.83
  • GF Value™: $10.29 vs. price of $14.59 (41.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the EC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ecopetrol Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address Carrera 13 No. 36 - 24, Main Building, Bogota, COL
Ecopetrol SA is engaged in commercial and industrial activities related to the exploration, exploitation, refining, transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing of hydrocarbons, their derivatives, and products, as well as the electric power transmission services, design, development, construction, operation, and maintenance of road and energy infrastructure projects and the provision of information technology and telecommunications services. The operations of the company are performed through four business segments: Exploration and Production, Transport and Logistics, Refining and Petrochemical, and Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions. The majority of the company's revenue is generated from the Exploration and Production segment.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for EC

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$14.59
Price
$10.29
GF Value