Antofagasta (FRA:FG1) Beneish M-Score: -2.53 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


FRA:FG1 Antofagasta PLC FRA:FG1
87 GF Score
Price €43.52
GF Value €28.46
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Antofagasta Beneish M-Score?

Antofagasta FRA:FG1 +3.94% 87 Beneish M-Score is -2.53 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:FG1 with a GF Score™ of 87/100 and a GF Value™ of €28.46 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 685 Metals & Mining companies, Antofagasta ranks better than 61.46% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.53 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Antofagasta's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:FG1' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.27   Med: -2.78   Max: -1.28
Current: -2.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Antofagasta was -1.28. The lowest was -3.27. And the median was -2.78.


Antofagasta Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Antofagasta's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Antofagasta Beneish M-Score Chart

Antofagasta Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.97 -1.28 -3.26 -2.82 -2.53

Antofagasta Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.26 0.00 -2.82 0.00 -2.53

FRA:FG1 vs SCCO, FCX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Copper subindustry, Antofagasta's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Antofagasta Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Antofagasta's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Antofagasta's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:FG1
87GF Score
Antofagasta PLC FRA:FG1
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Antofagasta Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Antofagasta for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2521+0.528 * 0.7585+0.404 * 0.8764+0.892 * 1.1656+0.115 * 1.096
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8132+4.679 * -0.065965-0.327 * 1.1387
=-2.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €1,254 Mil.
Revenue was €7,362 Mil.
Gross Profit was €3,675 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €6,103 Mil.
Total Assets was €22,561 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €14,222 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,448 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €526 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,104 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €5,624 Mil.
Net Income was €1,135 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €2,623 Mil.
Total Receivables was €859 Mil.
Revenue was €6,316 Mil.
Gross Profit was €2,392 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €5,881 Mil.
Total Assets was €21,616 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €13,291 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,498 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €555 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,651 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €3,851 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1253.757 / 7361.736) / (859.023 / 6315.797)
=0.170307 / 0.136012
=1.2521

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2391.702 / 6315.797) / (3675.36 / 7361.736)
=0.378686 / 0.499252
=0.7585

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6103.367 + 14221.918) / 22561.314) / (1 - (5881.177 + 13290.735) / 21616.33)
=0.099109 / 0.113082
=0.8764

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=7361.736 / 6315.797
=1.1656

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1497.631 / (1497.631 + 13290.735)) / (1447.872 / (1447.872 + 14221.918))
=0.101271 / 0.092399
=1.096

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(526.235 / 7361.736) / (555.142 / 6315.797)
=0.071482 / 0.087897
=0.8132

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5623.846 + 2103.573) / 22561.314) / ((3851.133 + 2650.603) / 21616.33)
=0.342507 / 0.300779
=1.1387

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1134.881 - 0 - 2623.146) / 22561.314
=-0.065965

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Antofagasta has a M-score of -2.59 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.53 mean?
Antofagasta (FRA:FG1) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.53 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Antofagasta and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Antofagasta ranks #264 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 38.5%.
Is Antofagasta's Beneish M-Score too high?
Antofagasta's current Beneish M-Score is -2.53. Based on the distribution chart, Antofagasta ranks #264 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Antofagasta has a GF Score™ of 87/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Antofagasta's Beneish M-Score compare to SCCO and FCX?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Antofagasta ranks #264 out of 685 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Antofagasta in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Antofagasta and its competitors. Antofagasta's current Beneish M-Score is -2.53. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Antofagasta stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Antofagasta (FRA:FG1) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €28.46, compared to a current price of €43.52 — trading 52.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.53. Antofagasta's overall GF Score™ is 87/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Antofagasta (FRA:FG1), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.53 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Antofagasta (FRA:FG1) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Antofagasta stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €43.52 is trading 52.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of €28.46. GuruFocus considers Antofagasta to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:FG1:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.53
  • GF Value™: €28.46 vs. price of €43.52 (52.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 87/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:FG1 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Antofagasta Business Description

Address 103 Mount Street, London, GBR, W1K 2TJ
Antofagasta PLC is a Chilean copper mining company. The company operates four copper mines in Chile, two of which produce volumes of by-products. The company also has a portfolio of growth opportunities located mainly in Chile. In addition to mining, the company has a transport division providing rail and road cargo services in northern Chile to mining customers. Geographically, the company's operations are located in the Antofagasta Region of northern Chile except for its flagship operation, Los Pelambres, which is in the Coquimbo Region of central Chile. The operating business segments are Los Pelambres, Centinela, Antucoya, Zaldivar, Exploration and evaluation, Corporate and other items, and Transport division.
87GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:FG1

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€43.52
Price
€28.46
GF Value