Antofagasta (FRA:FG1) Altman Z-Score: 4.04 (As of Jul. 02, 2026) — 27% Above Median


FRA:FG1 Antofagasta PLC FRA:FG1
87 GF Score
Price €44.63
GF Value €27.60
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Antofagasta Altman Z-Score?

Antofagasta FRA:FG1 -0.04% 87 Altman Z-Score is 4.04 as of Jul. 02, 2026, which is 27% above its 10-year median of 3.18. GuruFocus rates FRA:FG1 with a GF Score™ of 87/100 and a GF Value™ of €27.60 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 787 Metals & Mining companies, Antofagasta ranks better than 58.58% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 4.04 is strong.

Antofagasta has a Altman Z-Score of 4.04, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Antofagasta's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:FG1' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.14   Med: 3.18   Max: 4.04
Current: 4.04

During the past 13 years, Antofagasta's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.04. The lowest was 2.14. And the median was 3.18.


Antofagasta  (FRA:FG1) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Antofagasta Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Antofagasta Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Antofagasta's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Antofagasta Altman Z-Score Chart

Antofagasta Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.71 3.37 3.12 2.62 3.68

Antofagasta Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.12 0.00 2.62 0.00 3.68

FRA:FG1 vs SCCO, FCX: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Copper subindustry, Antofagasta's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Antofagasta Altman Z-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Antofagasta's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Antofagasta's Altman Z-Score falls into.


FRA:FG1
87GF Score
Antofagasta PLC FRA:FG1
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Antofagasta Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Antofagasta's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1773+1.4*0.3817+3.3*0.1336+0.6*4.2173+1.0*0.3263
=4.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025:
Total Assets was €22,561 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €6,103 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,104 Mil.
Retained Earnings was €8,612 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was €2,698 Mil.
Interest Expense was €-317 Mil.
Revenue was €7,362 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was €43,175 Mil.
Total Liabilities was €10,238 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(6103.367 - 2103.573)/22561.314
=0.1773

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=8612.248/22561.314
=0.3817

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(2698.213 - -316.663)/22561.314
=0.1336

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=43175.281/10237.752
=4.2173

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=7361.736/22561.314
=0.3263

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Antofagasta has a Altman Z-Score of 4.04 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 4.04 mean?
Antofagasta (FRA:FG1) has a Altman Z-Score of 4.04 as of Jul. 02, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Antofagasta and its competitors. This is 27% above median its historical median of 3.18. Over the past decade, Antofagasta's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.14 to 4.04. According to the industry distribution chart, Antofagasta ranks #326 out of 787 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 41.4%.
Is Antofagasta's Altman Z-Score too high?
Antofagasta's current Altman Z-Score of 4.04 is 27% above median its 10-year median of 3.18. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.14 to a high of 4.04. The Metals & Mining industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.37. Antofagasta's value of 4.04 is 19.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Antofagasta ranks #326 out of 787 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Antofagasta has a GF Score™ of 87/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Antofagasta's Altman Z-Score compare to SCCO and FCX?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Antofagasta ranks #326 out of 787 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts Antofagasta in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.37. Antofagasta's value of 4.04 is 19.9% above this benchmark. Historically, Antofagasta's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.14 to 4.04 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.18 vs. the industry median of 3.37, Antofagasta has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Metals & Mining companies is 3.37, based on 787 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Antofagasta's current Altman Z-Score of 4.04 is 19.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Antofagasta and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.37 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Antofagasta's current Altman Z-Score is 4.04, which is 27% above median its own 10-year median of 3.18. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Antofagasta stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Antofagasta (FRA:FG1) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €27.60, compared to a current price of €44.63 — trading 61.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 4.04, which is 27% above median its 10-year median of 3.18 and 19.9% above the Metals & Mining industry median of 3.37. Antofagasta's overall GF Score™ is 87/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Antofagasta (FRA:FG1), the current Altman Z-Score is 4.04 as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Antofagasta (FRA:FG1) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Antofagasta stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €44.63 is trading 61.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of €27.60. GuruFocus considers Antofagasta to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:FG1:

  • Altman Z-Score: 4.04 (27% above median its 10-year median of 3.18)
  • GF Value™: €27.60 vs. price of €44.63 (61.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 87/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 19.9% above the Metals & Mining median (#326 of 787)

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:FG1 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Antofagasta Business Description

Address 103 Mount Street, London, GBR, W1K 2TJ
Antofagasta PLC is a Chilean copper mining company. The company operates four copper mines in Chile, two of which produce volumes of by-products. The company also has a portfolio of growth opportunities located mainly in Chile. In addition to mining, the company has a transport division providing rail and road cargo services in northern Chile to mining customers. Geographically, the company's operations are located in the Antofagasta Region of northern Chile except for its flagship operation, Los Pelambres, which is in the Coquimbo Region of central Chile. The operating business segments are Los Pelambres, Centinela, Antucoya, Zaldivar, Exploration and evaluation, Corporate and other items, and Transport division.
87GF Score

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Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€44.63
Price
€27.60
GF Value