Nippon Express Holdings (FRA:L3W) Beneish M-Score: -2.74 (As of Aug. 11, 2026)

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FRA:L3W Nippon Express Holdings Inc FRA:L3W
41 GF Score
Price €28.80
GF Value €15.51
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Nippon Express Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Nippon Express Holdings FRA:L3W +5.88% 41 Beneish M-Score is -2.74 as of Aug. 11, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:L3W with a GF Score™ of 41/100 and a GF Value™ of €15.51. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 968 Transportation companies, Nippon Express Holdings ranks better than 65.08% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.74 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nippon Express Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:L3W' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.83   Med: -2.72   Max: -2.52
Current: -2.74

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Nippon Express Holdings was -2.52. The lowest was -2.83. And the median was -2.72.


Nippon Express Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nippon Express Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nippon Express Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Nippon Express Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
0.00 0.00 -2.52 -2.72

Nippon Express Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.74 -2.83 -2.72 -2.74 0.00

FRA:L3W vs UPS, FDX, JBHT: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, Nippon Express Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nippon Express Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Nippon Express Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nippon Express Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:L3W
41GF Score
Nippon Express Holdings Inc FRA:L3W
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Nippon Express Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Nippon Express Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4985+0.528 * 0.9405+0.404 * 0.8831+0.892 * 0.6766+0.115 * 1.7051
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1139+4.679 * -0.029368-0.327 * 1.0111
=-2.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun26) TTM:Last Year (Jun25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €3,099 Mil.
Revenue was 0 + 3555.974 + 3649.171 + 3668.19 = €10,873 Mil.
Gross Profit was 0 + 328.665 + 349.274 + 351.107 = €1,029 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €5,267 Mil.
Total Assets was €12,729 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €5,194 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €558 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €752 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €4,088 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €3,399 Mil.
Net Income was 0 + 24.901 + -48.732 + 17.206 = €-7 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + 156.093 + 0 + 211.112 = €367 Mil.
Total Receivables was €3,057 Mil.
Revenue was 3760.683 + 4004.385 + 4206.092 + 4098.714 = €16,070 Mil.
Gross Profit was 359.849 + 347.473 + 353.267 + 369.806 = €1,430 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €5,102 Mil.
Total Assets was €13,748 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €5,872 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,165 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €997 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €4,004 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €3,994 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3099.387 / 10873.335) / (3056.707 / 16069.874)
=0.285045 / 0.190214
=1.4985

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1430.395 / 16069.874) / (1029.046 / 10873.335)
=0.089011 / 0.094639
=0.9405

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5267.087 + 5193.865) / 12729.02) / (1 - (5102.005 + 5872.115) / 13748.11)
=0.178181 / 0.201772
=0.8831

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10873.335 / 16069.874
=0.6766

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1164.852 / (1164.852 + 5872.115)) / (558.442 / (558.442 + 5193.865))
=0.165533 / 0.097081
=1.7051

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(751.528 / 10873.335) / (997.145 / 16069.874)
=0.069117 / 0.062051
=1.1139

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3398.854 + 4087.58) / 12729.02) / ((3993.612 + 4003.645) / 13748.11)
=0.588139 / 0.581699
=1.0111

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-6.625 - 0 - 367.205) / 12729.02
=-0.029368

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Nippon Express Holdings has a M-score of -2.47 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.74 mean?
Nippon Express Holdings (FRA:L3W) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.74 as of Aug. 11, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Nippon Express Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Nippon Express Holdings ranks #338 out of 968 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 34.9%.
Is Nippon Express Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Nippon Express Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.74. Based on the distribution chart, Nippon Express Holdings ranks #338 out of 968 companies in the Transportation industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Nippon Express Holdings has a GF Score™ of 41/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nippon Express Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to UPS and FDX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Nippon Express Holdings ranks #338 out of 968 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Nippon Express Holdings in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Nippon Express Holdings and its competitors. Nippon Express Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.74. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nippon Express Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Nippon Express Holdings (FRA:L3W) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.74. The stock's GF Value™ is €15.51, compared to a current price of €28.80 — trading 85.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.74. Nippon Express Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 41/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nippon Express Holdings (FRA:L3W), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.74 as of Aug. 11, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nippon Express Holdings (FRA:L3W) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nippon Express Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €28.80 is trading 85.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of €15.51.

Key valuation signals for FRA:L3W:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.74
  • GF Value™: €15.51 vs. price of €28.80 (85.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 41/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:L3W stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nippon Express Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges 9147:Japan
Address Kanda-Izumicho 2, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 101-0024
Nippon Express Holdings Inc is engaged in the logistics business through five reportable segments: Japan, Americas, Europe, East Asia, and South Asia/Oceania. The company provides a wide range of logistics services, including railway, air, marine, and truck transportation, as well as warehousing, distribution, processing, and moving services. In addition to its core logistics operations, the group is also involved in security transport, heavy haulage and construction, and logistics support businesses, which include real estate, oil sales, and related services.
41GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:L3W

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€28.80
Price
€15.51
GF Value