Treasury Wine Estates (FRA:T7W) Beneish M-Score: -2.51 (As of Jun. 29, 2026)


FRA:T7W Treasury Wine Estates Ltd FRA:T7W
59 GF Score
Price €2.78
GF Value €6.03
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 10 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Treasury Wine Estates Beneish M-Score?

Treasury Wine Estates FRA:T7W -1.43% 59 Beneish M-Score is -2.51 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:T7W with a GF Score™ of 59/100 and a GF Value™ of €6.03 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review. Among 201 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, Treasury Wine Estates ranks worse than 55.72% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.51 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Treasury Wine Estates's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:T7W' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.87   Med: -2.56   Max: -2.41
Current: -2.51

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Treasury Wine Estates was -2.41. The lowest was -2.87. And the median was -2.56.


Treasury Wine Estates Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Treasury Wine Estates's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Treasury Wine Estates Beneish M-Score Chart

Treasury Wine Estates Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.87 -2.55 -2.53 -2.51

Treasury Wine Estates Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.53 0.00 -2.51 0.00

FRA:T7W vs BF.B: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Treasury Wine Estates's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Treasury Wine Estates Beneish M-Score vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Treasury Wine Estates's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Treasury Wine Estates's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:T7W
59GF Score
Treasury Wine Estates Ltd FRA:T7W
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Treasury Wine Estates Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Treasury Wine Estates for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0192+0.528 * 0.915+0.404 * 1.0018+0.892 * 0.9813+0.115 * 0.9681
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9428+4.679 * -0.016942-0.327 * 0.9917
=-2.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €375 Mil.
Revenue was €1,658 Mil.
Gross Profit was €771 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,250 Mil.
Total Assets was €4,691 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,271 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €94 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €366 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €618 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,162 Mil.
Net Income was €247 Mil.
Gross Profit was €29 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €297 Mil.
Total Receivables was €375 Mil.
Revenue was €1,690 Mil.
Gross Profit was €719 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,350 Mil.
Total Assets was €5,005 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,343 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €96 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €395 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €636 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,280 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(374.853 / 1658.42) / (374.808 / 1690.089)
=0.22603 / 0.221768
=1.0192

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(719.327 / 1690.089) / (771.382 / 1658.42)
=0.425615 / 0.465131
=0.915

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1249.643 + 1270.64) / 4691.113) / (1 - (1350.073 + 1342.855) / 5004.509)
=0.462754 / 0.4619
=1.0018

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1658.42 / 1690.089
=0.9813

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(95.923 / (95.923 + 1342.855)) / (93.981 / (93.981 + 1270.64))
=0.06667 / 0.06887
=0.9681

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(365.879 / 1658.42) / (395.473 / 1690.089)
=0.220619 / 0.233995
=0.9428

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1162.096 + 618.471) / 4691.113) / ((1279.812 + 635.68) / 5004.509)
=0.379562 / 0.382753
=0.9917

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(246.61 - 29.352 - 296.733) / 4691.113
=-0.016942

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Treasury Wine Estates has a M-score of -2.59 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.51 mean?
Treasury Wine Estates (FRA:T7W) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.51 as of Jun. 29, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Treasury Wine Estates and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Treasury Wine Estates ranks #112 out of 201 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 55.7%.
Is Treasury Wine Estates' Beneish M-Score too high?
Treasury Wine Estates' current Beneish M-Score is -2.51. Based on the distribution chart, Treasury Wine Estates ranks #112 out of 201 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Treasury Wine Estates has a GF Score™ of 59/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Treasury Wine Estates' Beneish M-Score compare to BF.B?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Treasury Wine Estates ranks #112 out of 201 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Treasury Wine Estates in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Beverages - Alcoholic industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Treasury Wine Estates and its competitors. Treasury Wine Estates's current Beneish M-Score is -2.51. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Treasury Wine Estates stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Treasury Wine Estates (FRA:T7W) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is €6.03, compared to a current price of €2.78 — trading 53.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.51. Treasury Wine Estates' overall GF Score™ is 59/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Treasury Wine Estates (FRA:T7W), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.51 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Treasury Wine Estates (FRA:T7W) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Treasury Wine Estates stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €2.78 is trading 53.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of €6.03. GuruFocus considers Treasury Wine Estates to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for FRA:T7W:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.51
  • GF Value™: €6.03 vs. price of €2.78 (53.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 59/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:T7W stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Treasury Wine Estates Business Description

Address 161 Collins Street, Level 8, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3000
Treasury Wine Estates is an Australia-based global wine company that demerged from Foster's Group in 2011. The company is among the world's top five wine producers, and owns a portfolio that includes Australian labels such as Penfolds and Wolf Blass, US wines like Chateau St Jean and Sterling, and newly launched names such as 19 Crimes and Maison de Grand Esprit. An acquisition of Diageo's wine business in 2016 added additional US brands including BV and Stags' Leap. Treasury owns over 130 wineries, with more than 13,000 planted hectares.
59GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:T7W

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€2.78
Price
€6.03
GF Value