Treasury Wine Estates (FRA:T7W) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

FRA:T7W Treasury Wine Estates Ltd FRA:T7W
64 GF Score
Price €3.27
GF Value €5.96
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 10 Warning Signs
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What is Treasury Wine Estates Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Treasury Wine Estates is: High Risk: High uncertainty.

Treasury Wine Estates  (FRA:T7W) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Treasury Wine Estates Risk Assessment Related Terms

FRA:T7W vs BF.B: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Treasury Wine Estates's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Treasury Wine Estates Risk Assessment vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Treasury Wine Estates's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Treasury Wine Estates's Risk Assessment falls into.


FRA:T7W
64GF Score
Treasury Wine Estates Ltd FRA:T7W
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Treasury Wine Estates (FRA:T7W) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Treasury Wine Estates stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €3.27 is trading 45.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of €5.96. GuruFocus considers Treasury Wine Estates to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for FRA:T7W:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: €5.96 vs. price of €3.27 (45.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:T7W stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Treasury Wine Estates Business Description

Address 161 Collins Street, Level 8, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3000
Treasury Wine Estates is an Australia-based global wine company that demerged from Foster's Group in 2011. The company is among the world's top five wine producers, and owns a portfolio that includes Australian labels such as Penfolds and Wolf Blass, US wines like Chateau St Jean and Sterling, and newly launched names such as 19 Crimes and Maison de Grand Esprit. An acquisition of Diageo's wine business in 2016 added additional US brands including BV and Stags' Leap. Treasury owns over 130 wineries, with more than 13,000 planted hectares.
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:T7W

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€3.27
Price
€5.96
GF Value