China Golden Classic Group (HKSE:08281) Beneish M-Score: -2.47 (As of Aug. 17, 2026)

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HKSE:08281 China Golden Classic Group Ltd HKSE:08281
44 GF Score
Price HK$0.30
GF Value HK$0.12
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is China Golden Classic Group Beneish M-Score?

China Golden Classic Group HKSE:08281 44 Beneish M-Score is -2.47 as of Aug. 17, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:08281 with a GF Score™ of 44/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$0.12 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,858 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, China Golden Classic Group ranks worse than 54.79% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.47 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Golden Classic Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:08281' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.31   Med: -2.52   Max: 8.71
Current: -2.47

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Golden Classic Group was 8.71. The lowest was -3.31. And the median was -2.52.


China Golden Classic Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for China Golden Classic Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Golden Classic Group Beneish M-Score Chart

China Golden Classic Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.20 -2.97 -2.75 -2.57 -2.47

China Golden Classic Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.75 0.00 -2.57 0.00 -2.47

HKSE:08281 vs PG, CL, KVUE: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, China Golden Classic Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Golden Classic Group Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, China Golden Classic Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Golden Classic Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HKSE:08281
44GF Score
China Golden Classic Group Ltd HKSE:08281
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

China Golden Classic Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Golden Classic Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1422+0.528 * 0.9077+0.404 * 0.9585+0.892 * 1.0637+0.115 * 1.0616
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.018+4.679 * -0.034105-0.327 * 0.875
=-2.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$46.0 Mil.
Revenue was HK$296.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$112.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$208.0 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$371.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$146.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$20.8 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$105.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$70.6 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$0.0 Mil.
Net Income was HK$11.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$24.0 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$37.9 Mil.
Revenue was HK$279.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$95.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$188.3 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$357.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$152.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$23.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$97.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$75.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$2.0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(45.994 / 296.757) / (37.855 / 278.98)
=0.154989 / 0.135691
=1.1422

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(95.542 / 278.98) / (111.961 / 296.757)
=0.342469 / 0.377282
=0.9077

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (208.03 + 146.152) / 371.411) / (1 - (188.315 + 152.161) / 357.791)
=0.046388 / 0.048394
=0.9585

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=296.757 / 278.98
=1.0637

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(23.179 / (23.179 + 152.161)) / (20.789 / (20.789 + 146.152))
=0.132195 / 0.124529
=1.0616

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(105.152 / 296.757) / (97.107 / 278.98)
=0.354337 / 0.348079
=1.018

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 70.594) / 371.411) / ((1.979 + 75.744) / 357.791)
=0.19007 / 0.21723
=0.875

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(11.286 - 0 - 23.953) / 371.411
=-0.034105

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Golden Classic Group has a M-score of -2.47 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.47 mean?
China Golden Classic Group (HKSE:08281) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.47 as of Aug. 17, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Golden Classic Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, China Golden Classic Group ranks #1018 out of 1858 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 54.8%.
Is China Golden Classic Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
China Golden Classic Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.47. Based on the distribution chart, China Golden Classic Group ranks #1018 out of 1858 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, China Golden Classic Group has a GF Score™ of 44/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Golden Classic Group's Beneish M-Score compare to PG and CL?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, China Golden Classic Group ranks #1018 out of 1858 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places China Golden Classic Group in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Golden Classic Group and its competitors. China Golden Classic Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.47. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Golden Classic Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Golden Classic Group (HKSE:08281) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$0.12, compared to a current price of HK$0.30 — trading 145.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.47. China Golden Classic Group's overall GF Score™ is 44/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Golden Classic Group (HKSE:08281), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.47 as of Aug. 17, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is China Golden Classic Group (HKSE:08281) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Golden Classic Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of HK$0.30 is trading 145.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of HK$0.12. GuruFocus considers China Golden Classic Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:08281:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.47
  • GF Value™: HK$0.12 vs. price of HK$0.30 (145.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 44/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:08281 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


China Golden Classic Group Business Description

Address No. 34, 35 Yingbin Road, Xiake Town, Jiangsu Province, Jiangyin City, CHN
China Golden Classic Group Ltd is a daily household product producer in China. The company focus on the production and sales of oral care products, include functional toothpastes, household products and leather care products. The company's reportable segment are: The Oral Care Products segment involves manufacturing and selling of oral care products including functional toothpaste, mouthwash, oral spray, and toothbrush; The Leather Care Products segment offers leather shoe care products and leather clothing care products; and The Household Hygiene Products segment comprises household hygiene products such as surface cleaners, laundry care products, toilet care products, and mould proof products. All of the group's operations are mainly located in the PRC.
44GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:08281

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$0.30
Price
HK$0.12
GF Value