Alexander Forbes Group Holdings (JSE:AFH) Beneish M-Score: -2.86 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


JSE:AFH Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Ltd JSE:AFH
68 GF Score
Price R7.43
GF Value R8.60
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Alexander Forbes Group Holdings JSE:AFH +0.95% 68 Beneish M-Score is -2.86 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates JSE:AFH with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of R8.60 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 86 Diversified Financial Services companies, Alexander Forbes Group Holdings ranks better than 73.26% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.86 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alexander Forbes Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:AFH' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.23   Med: -2.55   Max: -1.34
Current: -2.86

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Alexander Forbes Group Holdings was -1.34. The lowest was -3.23. And the median was -2.55.


Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Alexander Forbes Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.38 -2.76 -2.62 -2.15 -2.86

Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.62 0.00 -2.15 0.00 -2.86

JSE:AFH vs FRHC, VOYA: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Financial Conglomerates subindustry, Alexander Forbes Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Diversified Financial Services Industry

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, Alexander Forbes Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alexander Forbes Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


JSE:AFH
68GF Score
Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Ltd JSE:AFH
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Alexander Forbes Group Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.465+0.528 * 0.9965+0.404 * 1.0168+0.892 * 1.1108+0.115 * 0.8295
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8509+4.679 * -0.009185-0.327 * 0.8549
=-2.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was R250 Mil.
Revenue was R6,277 Mil.
Gross Profit was R2,645 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R3,823 Mil.
Total Assets was R567,786 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R398 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R273 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R293 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R1,285 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R549 Mil.
Net Income was R841 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R6,056 Mil.
Total Receivables was R484 Mil.
Revenue was R5,651 Mil.
Gross Profit was R2,373 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R10,706 Mil.
Total Assets was R469,557 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R481 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R245 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R310 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R1,208 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R566 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(250 / 6277) / (484 / 5651)
=0.039828 / 0.085649
=0.465

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2373 / 5651) / (2645 / 6277)
=0.419926 / 0.42138
=0.9965

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3823 + 398) / 567786) / (1 - (10706 + 481) / 469557)
=0.992566 / 0.976175
=1.0168

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=6277 / 5651
=1.1108

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(245 / (245 + 481)) / (273 / (273 + 398))
=0.337466 / 0.406855
=0.8295

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(293 / 6277) / (310 / 5651)
=0.046678 / 0.054858
=0.8509

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((549 + 1285) / 567786) / ((566 + 1208) / 469557)
=0.00323 / 0.003778
=0.8549

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(841 - 0 - 6056) / 567786
=-0.009185

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Alexander Forbes Group Holdings has a M-score of -2.86 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.86 mean?
Alexander Forbes Group Holdings (JSE:AFH) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.86 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Alexander Forbes Group Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Alexander Forbes Group Holdings ranks #23 out of 86 companies in the Diversified Financial Services industry, placing it in the top 26.7%.
Is Alexander Forbes Group Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Alexander Forbes Group Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.86. Based on the distribution chart, Alexander Forbes Group Holdings ranks #23 out of 86 companies in the Diversified Financial Services industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Alexander Forbes Group Holdings has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alexander Forbes Group Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to FRHC and VOYA?
According to the Diversified Financial Services industry distribution chart, Alexander Forbes Group Holdings ranks #23 out of 86 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Alexander Forbes Group Holdings in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Diversified Financial Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Diversified Financial Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Alexander Forbes Group Holdings and its competitors. Alexander Forbes Group Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.86. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alexander Forbes Group Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alexander Forbes Group Holdings (JSE:AFH) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R8.60, compared to a current price of R7.43 — trading 13.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.86. Alexander Forbes Group Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alexander Forbes Group Holdings (JSE:AFH), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.86 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alexander Forbes Group Holdings (JSE:AFH) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alexander Forbes Group Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of R7.43 is trading 13.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of R8.60. GuruFocus considers Alexander Forbes Group Holdings to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:AFH:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.86
  • GF Value™: R8.60 vs. price of R7.43 (13.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:AFH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Business Description

Address 115 West Street, Sandown, Johannesburg, GT, ZAF, 2196
Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Ltd is a South Africa-based diversified financial services company. The company operates through seven segments: Retirement consulting, Healthcare consulting, Investments, Individual consulting, Multinational consulting, Solutions & Enablement, and Client Services & Business Optimization. Its services include Retirement consulting, Investments, Healthcare, Preservation funds, and Others. The company also offers online services.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:AFH

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R7.43
Price
R8.60
GF Value