GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Consumer Packaged Goods » Astral Foods Ltd (JSE:ARL) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score

Astral Foods (JSE:ARL) Beneish M-Score : -1.81 (As of Jun. 25, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2001. Start your Free Trial

What is Astral Foods Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.81 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Astral Foods's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:ARL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.92   Med: -2.52   Max: -1.81
Current: -1.81

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Astral Foods was -1.81. The lowest was -2.92. And the median was -2.52.


Astral Foods Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Astral Foods's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Astral Foods Beneish M-Score Chart

Astral Foods Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 -2.92 -2.35 -2.57 -1.81

Astral Foods Semi-Annual Data
Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.57 - -1.81 -

Competitive Comparison of Astral Foods's Beneish M-Score

For the Farm Products subindustry, Astral Foods's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Astral Foods's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Astral Foods's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Astral Foods's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Astral Foods Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Astral Foods for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0458+0.528 * 2.1471+0.404 * 0.9385+0.892 * 0.9957+0.115 * 1.026
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.126+4.679 * 0.05034-0.327 * 1.5061
=-1.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R1,614 Mil.
Revenue was R19,251 Mil.
Gross Profit was R1,866 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R5,446 Mil.
Total Assets was R9,111 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R3,405 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R310 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R2,027 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R4,286 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R182 Mil.
Net Income was R-512 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R-971 Mil.
Total Receivables was R1,550 Mil.
Revenue was R19,334 Mil.
Gross Profit was R4,023 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R4,890 Mil.
Total Assets was R8,438 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R3,292 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R308 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R1,808 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R2,516 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R231 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1613.959 / 19250.955) / (1549.949 / 19333.85)
=0.083838 / 0.080168
=1.0458

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4023.337 / 19333.85) / (1865.804 / 19250.955)
=0.208098 / 0.09692
=2.1471

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5445.647 + 3404.747) / 9110.719) / (1 - (4889.866 + 3291.529) / 8438.309)
=0.028573 / 0.030446
=0.9385

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=19250.955 / 19333.85
=0.9957

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(308.462 / (308.462 + 3291.529)) / (310.234 / (310.234 + 3404.747))
=0.085684 / 0.083509
=1.026

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2027.486 / 19250.955) / (1808.414 / 19333.85)
=0.105319 / 0.093536
=1.126

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((181.589 + 4286.133) / 9110.719) / ((231.302 + 2516.141) / 8438.309)
=0.490381 / 0.325592
=1.5061

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-512.2 - 0 - -970.837) / 9110.719
=0.05034

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Astral Foods has a M-score of -1.81 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Astral Foods Beneish M-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Astral Foods's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Astral Foods (JSE:ARL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
13 Thunderbolt Lane,, Lanseria Corporate Estate, Lanseria Ext 26, Lanseria, GT, ZAF, 1748
Astral Foods Ltd is an integrated poultry producer operating under several brands. It supplies different poultry needs in Africa. The activities are divided into two operating segments. The poultry segment comprises the sale of poultry-related products for human consumption as well as day-old broilers, hatching eggs and day-old parent stock. The Feed segment comprises the sale of a wide range of specialized feed products for commercially farmed animal species. The majority of revenue is generated from the poultry segment. The company has multiple processing facilities to get the poultry to ready-to-eat form and manufacture vitamin and mineral feed additives.