Octodec Investments (JSE:OCT) Beneish M-Score: -2.24 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


JSE:OCT Octodec Investments Ltd JSE:OCT
66 GF Score
Price R17.68
GF Value R11.11
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 10 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Octodec Investments Beneish M-Score?

Octodec Investments JSE:OCT -1.72% 66 Beneish M-Score is -2.24 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates JSE:OCT with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of R11.11 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review. Among 764 REITs companies, Octodec Investments ranks worse than 69.37% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.24 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Octodec Investments's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:OCT' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.53   Med: -2.37   Max: -1.83
Current: -2.24

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Octodec Investments was -1.83. The lowest was -2.53. And the median was -2.37.


Octodec Investments Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Octodec Investments's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Octodec Investments Beneish M-Score Chart

Octodec Investments Annual Data
Trend Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24 Aug25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.26 -2.52 -2.37 -2.38 -2.24

Octodec Investments Semi-Annual Data
Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24 Aug24 Feb25 Aug25 Feb26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.38 0.00 -2.24 0.00

JSE:OCT vs VICI, WPC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, Octodec Investments's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Octodec Investments Beneish M-Score vs REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Octodec Investments's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Octodec Investments's Beneish M-Score falls into.


JSE:OCT
66GF Score
Octodec Investments Ltd JSE:OCT
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Octodec Investments Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Octodec Investments for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0471+0.528 * 1.0057+0.404 * 0.9939+0.892 * 1.0453+0.115 * 0.9883
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9551+4.679 * 0.030344-0.327 * 0.9775
=-2.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Aug25) TTM:Last Year (Aug24) TTM:
Total Receivables was R158 Mil.
Revenue was R2,108 Mil.
Gross Profit was R1,010 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R339 Mil.
Total Assets was R11,480 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R13 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R99 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R1,008 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R3,754 Mil.
Net Income was R491 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R143 Mil.
Total Receivables was R145 Mil.
Revenue was R2,016 Mil.
Gross Profit was R972 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R268 Mil.
Total Assets was R11,404 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R12 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R100 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R1,946 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R2,893 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(158.448 / 2107.661) / (144.771 / 2016.403)
=0.075177 / 0.071797
=1.0471

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(971.667 / 2016.403) / (1009.887 / 2107.661)
=0.481881 / 0.479151
=1.0057

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (338.618 + 3.341) / 11479.582) / (1 - (268.088 + 3.23) / 11403.967)
=0.970212 / 0.976208
=0.9939

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2107.661 / 2016.403
=1.0453

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(11.885 / (11.885 + 3.23)) / (13.005 / (13.005 + 3.341))
=0.786305 / 0.795607
=0.9883

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(99.459 / 2107.661) / (99.621 / 2016.403)
=0.047189 / 0.049405
=0.9551

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3753.62 + 1007.609) / 11479.582) / ((2892.558 + 1946.035) / 11403.967)
=0.414756 / 0.42429
=0.9775

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(491.101 - 0 - 142.761) / 11479.582
=0.030344

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Octodec Investments has a M-score of -2.24 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.24 mean?
Octodec Investments (JSE:OCT) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.24 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Octodec Investments and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Octodec Investments ranks #530 out of 764 companies in the REITs industry, placing it in the top 69.4%.
Is Octodec Investments' Beneish M-Score too high?
Octodec Investments' current Beneish M-Score is -2.24. Based on the distribution chart, Octodec Investments ranks #530 out of 764 companies in the REITs industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Octodec Investments has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Octodec Investments' Beneish M-Score compare to VICI and WPC?
According to the REITs industry distribution chart, Octodec Investments ranks #530 out of 764 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Octodec Investments in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a REITs company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the REITs industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Octodec Investments and its competitors. Octodec Investments's current Beneish M-Score is -2.24. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Octodec Investments stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Octodec Investments (JSE:OCT) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R11.11, compared to a current price of R17.68 — trading 59.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.24. Octodec Investments' overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Octodec Investments (JSE:OCT), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.24 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Octodec Investments (JSE:OCT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Octodec Investments stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R17.68 is trading 59.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of R11.11. GuruFocus considers Octodec Investments to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:OCT:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.24
  • GF Value™: R11.11 vs. price of R17.68 (59.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:OCT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Octodec Investments Business Description

Industry Real EstateREITs
Address 101 Du Toit Street, CPA House, Tshwane, Pretoria, GT, ZAF, 0002
Octodec Investments Ltd is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The company generates rental income from Residential, Retail - street shops, Retail - shopping centres, offices, industrial, and parking, where the majority of its revenue is from the Residential segment. The diversified portfolio comprises residential, retail, office, and industrial properties.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:OCT

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R17.68
Price
R11.11
GF Value