Octodec Investments (JSE:OCT) Altman Z-Score: 1.06 (As of Jul. 03, 2026) — 31% Above Median


JSE:OCT Octodec Investments Ltd JSE:OCT
66 GF Score
Price R17.14
GF Value R11.12
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 10 Warning Signs
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What is Octodec Investments Altman Z-Score?

Octodec Investments JSE:OCT -3.11% 66 Altman Z-Score is 1.06 as of Jul. 03, 2026, which is 31% above its 10-year median of 0.81. GuruFocus rates JSE:OCT with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of R11.12 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review. Among 737 REITs companies, Octodec Investments ranks worse than 50.88% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.06 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Octodec Investments has a Altman Z-Score of 1.06, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Octodec Investments's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:OCT' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.18   Med: 0.81   Max: 1.08
Current: 1.06

During the past 13 years, Octodec Investments's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.08. The lowest was 0.18. And the median was 0.81.


Octodec Investments  (JSE:OCT) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Octodec Investments Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Octodec Investments Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Octodec Investments's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Octodec Investments Altman Z-Score Chart

Octodec Investments Annual Data
Trend Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24 Aug25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.32 0.78 0.83 0.65 0.87

Octodec Investments Semi-Annual Data
Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24 Aug24 Feb25 Aug25 Feb26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.65 0.00 0.87 0.00

JSE:OCT vs VICI, WPC: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, Octodec Investments's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Octodec Investments Altman Z-Score vs REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Octodec Investments's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Octodec Investments's Altman Z-Score falls into.


JSE:OCT
66GF Score
Octodec Investments Ltd JSE:OCT
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Octodec Investments Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Octodec Investments's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0583+1.4*0.0903+3.3*0.0797+0.6*0.9292+1.0*0.1836
=1.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Aug. 2025:
Total Assets was R11,480 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R339 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R1,008 Mil.
Retained Earnings was R1,037 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was R488 Mil.
Interest Expense was R-427 Mil.
Revenue was R2,108 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was R4,563 Mil.
Total Liabilities was R4,910 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(338.618 - 1007.609)/11479.582
=-0.0583

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1036.918/11479.582
=0.0903

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(488.295 - -427.041)/11479.582
=0.0797

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=4562.626/4910.327
=0.9292

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2107.661/11479.582
=0.1836

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Octodec Investments has a Altman Z-Score of 1.06 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 1.06 mean?
Octodec Investments (JSE:OCT) has a Altman Z-Score of 1.06 as of Jul. 03, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Octodec Investments and its competitors. This is 31% above median its historical median of 0.81. Over the past decade, Octodec Investments' Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.18 to 1.08. According to the industry distribution chart, Octodec Investments ranks #375 out of 737 companies in the REITs industry, placing it in the top 50.9%.
Is Octodec Investments' Altman Z-Score too high?
Octodec Investments' current Altman Z-Score of 1.06 is 31% above median its 10-year median of 0.81. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.18 to a high of 1.08. The REITs industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.08. Octodec Investments' value of 1.06 is 1.9% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Octodec Investments ranks #375 out of 737 companies in the REITs industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Octodec Investments has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Octodec Investments' Altman Z-Score compare to VICI and WPC?
According to the REITs industry distribution chart, Octodec Investments ranks #375 out of 737 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Octodec Investments in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.08. Octodec Investments' value of 1.06 is 1.9% below this benchmark. Historically, Octodec Investments' own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.18 to 1.08 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.81 vs. the industry median of 1.08, Octodec Investments has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a REITs company?
The median Altman Z-Score among REITs companies is 1.08, based on 737 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Octodec Investments's current Altman Z-Score of 1.06 is 1.9% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Octodec Investments and its competitors. For the REITs industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.08 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Octodec Investments's current Altman Z-Score is 1.06, which is 31% above median its own 10-year median of 0.81. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Octodec Investments stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Octodec Investments (JSE:OCT) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R11.12, compared to a current price of R17.14 — trading 54.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 1.06, which is 31% above median its 10-year median of 0.81 and 1.9% below the REITs industry median of 1.08. Octodec Investments' overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Octodec Investments (JSE:OCT), the current Altman Z-Score is 1.06 as of Jul. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Octodec Investments (JSE:OCT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Octodec Investments stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R17.14 is trading 54.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of R11.12. GuruFocus considers Octodec Investments to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:OCT:

  • Altman Z-Score: 1.06 (31% above median its 10-year median of 0.81)
  • GF Value™: R11.12 vs. price of R17.14 (54.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 10 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 1.9% below the REITs median (#375 of 737)

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:OCT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Octodec Investments Business Description

Industry Real EstateREITs
Address 101 Du Toit Street, CPA House, Tshwane, Pretoria, GT, ZAF, 0002
Octodec Investments Ltd is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The company generates rental income from Residential, Retail - street shops, Retail - shopping centres, offices, industrial, and parking, where the majority of its revenue is from the Residential segment. The diversified portfolio comprises residential, retail, office, and industrial properties.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:OCT

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R17.14
Price
R11.12
GF Value