Millat Tractors (KAR:MTL) Beneish M-Score: -3.40 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


KAR:MTL Millat Tractors Ltd KAR:MTL
78 GF Score
Price ₨310.22
GF Value ₨211.73
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Millat Tractors Beneish M-Score?

Millat Tractors KAR:MTL 78 Beneish M-Score is -3.40 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates KAR:MTL with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of ₨211.73 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 205 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery companies, Millat Tractors ranks better than 93.17% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.4 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Millat Tractors's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KAR:MTL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.57   Med: -1.9   Max: 2.29
Current: -3.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Millat Tractors was 2.29. The lowest was -4.57. And the median was -1.90.


Millat Tractors Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Millat Tractors's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Millat Tractors Beneish M-Score Chart

Millat Tractors Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.39 -1.24 -0.81 -1.84 -1.76

Millat Tractors Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.59 -1.76 -2.17 -4.57 -3.40

KAR:MTL vs CAT, DE, PCAR: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Millat Tractors's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Millat Tractors Beneish M-Score vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Millat Tractors's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Millat Tractors's Beneish M-Score falls into.


KAR:MTL
78GF Score
Millat Tractors Ltd KAR:MTL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Millat Tractors Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Millat Tractors for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2877+0.528 * 0.775+0.404 * 1.0055+0.892 * 0.9076+0.115 * 1.3278
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1959+4.679 * -0.212801-0.327 * 0.9705
=-3.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₨2,362 Mil.
Revenue was 17230.508 + 20893.924 + 7784.326 + 12471.211 = ₨58,380 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6536.964 + 7514.121 + 2191.915 + 3160.516 = ₨19,404 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨26,817 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨35,446 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨2,863 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨325 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨2,484 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨24,785 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨1,522 Mil.
Net Income was 3056.245 + 2406.145 + 582.017 + 1369.018 = ₨7,413 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₨0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1247.642 + 11935.891 + -3462.854 + 5235.697 = ₨14,956 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₨2,021 Mil.
Revenue was 12579.515 + 19504.707 + 8792.17 + 23444.664 = ₨64,321 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3604.43 + 5251.482 + 2390.686 + 5322.365 = ₨16,569 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨30,469 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨38,848 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨2,095 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨328 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨2,288 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨29,116 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨592 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2362.366 / 58379.969) / (2021.262 / 64321.056)
=0.040465 / 0.031425
=1.2877

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(16568.963 / 64321.056) / (19403.516 / 58379.969)
=0.257598 / 0.332366
=0.775

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (26817.488 + 2862.705) / 35446.112) / (1 - (30468.537 + 2094.723) / 38848.218)
=0.162667 / 0.161782
=1.0055

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=58379.969 / 64321.056
=0.9076

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(328.017 / (328.017 + 2094.723)) / (325.051 / (325.051 + 2862.705))
=0.135391 / 0.101969
=1.3278

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2483.858 / 58379.969) / (2288.32 / 64321.056)
=0.042546 / 0.035577
=1.1959

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1521.972 + 24784.752) / 35446.112) / ((591.785 + 29116.28) / 38848.218)
=0.742161 / 0.764721
=0.9705

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(7413.425 - 0 - 14956.376) / 35446.112
=-0.212801

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Millat Tractors has a M-score of -3.40 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.40 mean?
Millat Tractors (KAR:MTL) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.40 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Millat Tractors and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Millat Tractors ranks #14 out of 205 companies in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry, placing it in the top 6.8%.
Is Millat Tractors' Beneish M-Score too high?
Millat Tractors' current Beneish M-Score is -3.40. Based on the distribution chart, Millat Tractors ranks #14 out of 205 companies in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Millat Tractors has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Millat Tractors' Beneish M-Score compare to CAT and DE?
According to the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry distribution chart, Millat Tractors ranks #14 out of 205 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Millat Tractors in the top 7% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Millat Tractors and its competitors. Millat Tractors's current Beneish M-Score is -3.40. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Millat Tractors stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Millat Tractors (KAR:MTL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₨211.73, compared to a current price of ₨310.22 — trading 46.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.40. Millat Tractors' overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Millat Tractors (KAR:MTL), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.40 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Millat Tractors (KAR:MTL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Millat Tractors stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₨310.22 is trading 46.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₨211.73. GuruFocus considers Millat Tractors to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for KAR:MTL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.40
  • GF Value™: ₨211.73 vs. price of ₨310.22 (46.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the KAR:MTL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Millat Tractors Business Description

Address 9-KM Sheikhupura Road, Shahdara, P.O Box No. 12023, District Sheikhupura, Lahore, PAK
Millat Tractors Ltd operates in the automobile sector. It is engaged in assembling and manufacturing of agricultural tractors, implements and multi-application products. The Company is also involved in the sale, implementation and support of IFS applications in Pakistan and abroad. The company's operating segment includes Tractors; Tractor components; Castings and Others. It generates maximum revenue from the Tractors segment. The tractor components segment is engaged in the business of manufacturing automotive, agricultural and industrial vehicle parts and components.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for KAR:MTL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₨310.22
Price
₨211.73
GF Value