National Foods FZCO (KAR:NATF) Beneish M-Score: -0.06 (As of Jul. 03, 2026)


KAR:NATF National Foods FZCO KAR:NATF
95 GF Score
Price ₨408.05
GF Value ₨260.73
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is National Foods FZCO Beneish M-Score?

National Foods FZCO KAR:NATF +2.21% 95 Beneish M-Score is -0.06 as of Jul. 03, 2026. GuruFocus rates KAR:NATF with a GF Score™ of 95/100 and a GF Value™ of ₨260.73 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,847 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, National Foods FZCO ranks worse than 94.42% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -0.06 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for National Foods FZCO's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KAR:NATF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.88   Med: -2.62   Max: -0.06
Current: -0.06

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of National Foods FZCO was -0.06. The lowest was -3.88. And the median was -2.62.


National Foods FZCO Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for National Foods FZCO's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

National Foods FZCO Beneish M-Score Chart

National Foods FZCO Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.92 -1.13 -2.15 -3.17 -2.79

National Foods FZCO Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.26 -2.79 -3.88 -0.53 -0.06

KAR:NATF vs KHC, GIS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, National Foods FZCO's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


National Foods FZCO Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, National Foods FZCO's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National Foods FZCO's Beneish M-Score falls into.


KAR:NATF
95GF Score
National Foods FZCO KAR:NATF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

National Foods FZCO Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of National Foods FZCO for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.3459+0.528 * 1.0544+0.404 * 2.3856+0.892 * 1.9207+0.115 * 0.3884
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.5163+4.679 * 0.351193-0.327 * 0.6199
=-0.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₨2,572 Mil.
Revenue was 16329.866 + 12424.544 + 10162.361 + 67964.715 = ₨106,881 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6504.998 + 5060.425 + 3981.484 + 17091.809 = ₨32,639 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨38,652 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨54,656 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨11,661 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨3,135 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨9,653 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨16,959 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨5,047 Mil.
Net Income was 2654.817 + 21373.448 + 1302.551 + 543.118 = ₨25,874 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₨0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 644.539 + 343.614 + 4503.229 + 1187.746 = ₨6,679 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₨3,872 Mil.
Revenue was 14186.655 + 10246.343 + 8909.212 + 22305.434 = ₨55,648 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5596.162 + 3708.63 + 2743.752 + 5869.399 = ₨17,918 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨24,837 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨45,288 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨18,943 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨1,699 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨3,314 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨18,585 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨10,829 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2571.985 / 106881.486) / (3871.568 / 55647.644)
=0.024064 / 0.069573
=0.3459

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(17917.943 / 55647.644) / (32638.716 / 106881.486)
=0.321989 / 0.305373
=1.0544

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (38652.316 + 11661.292) / 54655.977) / (1 - (24837.018 + 18942.767) / 45288.033)
=0.079449 / 0.033303
=2.3856

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=106881.486 / 55647.644
=1.9207

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1698.731 / (1698.731 + 18942.767)) / (3134.821 / (3134.821 + 11661.292))
=0.082297 / 0.211868
=0.3884

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(9653.026 / 106881.486) / (3314.407 / 55647.644)
=0.090315 / 0.059561
=1.5163

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5047.389 + 16959.003) / 54655.977) / ((10829.449 + 18584.55) / 45288.033)
=0.402635 / 0.649487
=0.6199

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(25873.934 - 0 - 6679.128) / 54655.977
=0.351193

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

National Foods FZCO has a M-score of -0.06 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -0.06 mean?
National Foods FZCO (KAR:NATF) has a Beneish M-Score of -0.06 as of Jul. 03, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on National Foods FZCO and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, National Foods FZCO ranks #1744 out of 1847 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 94.4%.
Is National Foods FZCO's Beneish M-Score too high?
National Foods FZCO's current Beneish M-Score is -0.06. Based on the distribution chart, National Foods FZCO ranks #1744 out of 1847 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, National Foods FZCO has a GF Score™ of 95/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does National Foods FZCO's Beneish M-Score compare to KHC and GIS?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, National Foods FZCO ranks #1744 out of 1847 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places National Foods FZCO in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on National Foods FZCO and its competitors. National Foods FZCO's current Beneish M-Score is -0.06. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is National Foods FZCO stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, National Foods FZCO (KAR:NATF) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₨260.73, compared to a current price of ₨408.05 — trading 56.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -0.06. National Foods FZCO's overall GF Score™ is 95/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For National Foods FZCO (KAR:NATF), the current Beneish M-Score is -0.06 as of Jul. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is National Foods FZCO (KAR:NATF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, National Foods FZCO stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₨408.05 is trading 56.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₨260.73. GuruFocus considers National Foods FZCO to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for KAR:NATF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -0.06
  • GF Value™: ₨260.73 vs. price of ₨408.05 (56.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 95/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the KAR:NATF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


National Foods FZCO Business Description

Address 12/CL-6, Claremont Road, Civil Lines, Karachi, SD, PAK, 75530
National Foods FZCO, formerly known as National Foods Ltd, is a Pakistan-based multi-category food company. It is principally engaged in the manufacturing and sale of convenience food products. The company's operating segment includes Food and food-related products and Retail. It generates maximum revenue from the Food and food-related products segment. Geographically, it derives the majority of revenue from Pakistan and also has a presence in KSA/Canada, the Middle East. The products of the company include desserts, jams, pickles, frozen meals, ketchup, recipe masala, rice, basic spices, and snacks.
95GF Score

Get the complete analysis for KAR:NATF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₨408.05
Price
₨260.73
GF Value