GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » Next PLC (LSE:NXT) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score
中文

Next (LSE:NXT) Beneish M-Score : -2.54 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1948. Start your Free Trial

What is Next Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.54 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Next's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:NXT' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.32   Med: -2.58   Max: -2.18
Current: -2.54

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Next was -2.18. The lowest was -3.32. And the median was -2.58.


Next Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Next's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Next Beneish M-Score Chart

Next Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.83 -3.32 -2.61 -2.32 -2.54

Next Semi-Annual Data
Jul14 Jan15 Jul15 Jan16 Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.61 - -2.32 - -2.54

Competitive Comparison of Next's Beneish M-Score

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Next's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Next's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Next's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Next's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Next Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Next for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9292+0.528 * 0.9803+0.404 * 1.6284+0.892 * 1.0908+0.115 * 0.7635
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0805+4.679 * -0.067312-0.327 * 0.8966
=-2.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan24) TTM:Last Year (Jan23) TTM:
Total Receivables was £1,389 Mil.
Revenue was £5,491 Mil.
Gross Profit was £2,421 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £2,448 Mil.
Total Assets was £4,724 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £1,422 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £246 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £1,452 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £1,246 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £1,690 Mil.
Net Income was £802 Mil.
Gross Profit was £0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was £1,120 Mil.
Total Receivables was £1,371 Mil.
Revenue was £5,034 Mil.
Gross Profit was £2,175 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £2,235 Mil.
Total Assets was £3,984 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £1,307 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £166 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £1,232 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £1,093 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £1,668 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1389.2 / 5491) / (1370.6 / 5034)
=0.252996 / 0.272269
=0.9292

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2175.3 / 5034) / (2420.5 / 5491)
=0.432122 / 0.440812
=0.9803

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2447.7 + 1422.1) / 4724.3) / (1 - (2234.5 + 1306.8) / 3983.8)
=0.180873 / 0.111075
=1.6284

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5491 / 5034
=1.0908

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(165.8 / (165.8 + 1306.8)) / (246 / (246 + 1422.1))
=0.11259 / 0.147473
=0.7635

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1451.8 / 5491) / (1231.8 / 5034)
=0.264396 / 0.244696
=1.0805

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1690.2 + 1245.7) / 4724.3) / ((1667.8 + 1093.3) / 3983.8)
=0.621447 / 0.693082
=0.8966

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(802.3 - 0 - 1120.3) / 4724.3
=-0.067312

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Next has a M-score of -2.54 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Next (LSE:NXT) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Desford Road, Enderby, Leicester, GBR, LE19 4AT
Next PLC is a retailer that sells clothing, footwear, accessories, and home products. most of the company's offerings consist of its own Next-branded products. Almost all of Next's revenue comes from its hundreds of stores in the United Kingdom and through its online and catalog business that reaches dozens of other countries. most of the company's remaining sales are through retail stores outside of the United Kingdom that it franchises. Its segments include NEXT Online, NEXT Finance, NEXT Retail, NEXT International Retail, Sourcing and other, and Property Management. Roughly 90% of the company's revenue comes from customers in the United Kingdom.